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3 Reasons to Avoid GPC and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

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Genuine Parts currently trades at $130.33 per share and has shown little upside over the past six months, posting a middling return of 4.7%.

Is there a buying opportunity in Genuine Parts, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Get the full stock story straight from our expert analysts, it’s free.

Why Do We Think Genuine Parts Will Underperform?

We don’t have much confidence in Genuine Parts. Here are three reasons why there are better opportunities than GPC, plus one stock we’d rather own.

1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints

Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Regrettably, Genuine Parts’s sales grew at a sluggish 3.1% compounded annual growth rate over the last three years. This fell short of our benchmark for the consumer retail sector.

Genuine Parts Quarterly Revenue

2. Flat Same-Store Sales Indicate Weak Demand

Same-store sales is an industry measure of whether revenue is growing at existing stores, and it is driven by customer visits (often called traffic) and the average spending per customer (ticket).

Genuine Parts’s demand within its existing locations has barely increased over the last two years as its same-store sales were flat.

Genuine Parts Same-Store Sales Growth

3. Weak Operating Margin Could Cause Trouble

Operating margin is a key measure of profitability. Think of it as net income - the bottom line - excluding the impact of taxes and interest on debt, which are less connected to business fundamentals.

Genuine Parts was profitable over the last two years but held back by its large cost base. Its average operating margin of 4.5% was weak for a consumer retail business. This result isn’t too surprising given its low gross margin as a starting point.

Genuine Parts Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

Final Judgment

We cheer for all companies serving everyday consumers, but in the case of Genuine Parts, we’ll be cheering from the sidelines. That said, the stock currently trades at 16.8× forward P/E (or $130.33 per share). At this valuation, there’s a lot of good news priced in - you can find more timely opportunities elsewhere. We’d suggest looking at the most dominant software business in the world.

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