
Service International currently trades at $84.64 per share and has shown little upside over the past six months, posting a middling return of 0.9%.
Is now the time to buy Service International, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Get the full stock story straight from our expert analysts, it’s free.
Why Do We Think Service International Will Underperform?
We're swiping left on Service International for now. Here are three reasons you should be careful with SCI and a stock we'd rather own.
1. Inability to Grow Funeral Services Performed Points to Weak Demand
Revenue growth can be broken down into changes in price and volume (for companies like Service International, our preferred volume metric is funeral services performed). While both are important, the latter is the most critical to analyze because prices have a ceiling.
Over the last two years, Service International failed to grow its funeral services performed, which came in at 89,117 in the latest quarter. This performance was underwhelming and implies there may be increasing competition or market saturation. It also suggests Service International might have to lower prices or invest in product improvements to accelerate growth, factors that can hinder near-term profitability.

2. Mediocre Free Cash Flow Margin Limits Reinvestment Potential
Free cash flow isn't a prominently featured metric in company financials and earnings releases, but we think it's telling because it accounts for all operating and capital expenses, making it tough to manipulate. Cash is king.
Service International has shown poor cash profitability relative to peers over the last two years, giving the company fewer opportunities to return capital to shareholders. Its free cash flow margin averaged 13.1%, below what we’d expect for a consumer discretionary business.

3. New Investments Fail to Bear Fruit as ROIC Declines
We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Over the last few years, Service International’s ROIC averaged 3 percentage point decreases each year. Paired with its already low returns, these declines suggest its profitable growth opportunities are few and far between.

Final Judgment
Service International doesn’t pass our quality test. That said, the stock currently trades at 19.7× forward P/E (or $84.64 per share). This valuation tells us it’s a bit of a market darling with a lot of good news priced in - we think there are better opportunities elsewhere. We’d recommend looking at our favorite semiconductor picks and shovels play.
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