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FIX Q3 Deep Dive: Tech Sector and Modular Growth Drive Strong Backlog Expansion

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HVAC and electrical contractor Comfort Systems (NYSE: FIX) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q3 CY2025, with sales up 35.2% year on year to $2.45 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $8.25 per share was 31.3% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy FIX? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Comfort Systems (FIX) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $2.45 billion vs analyst estimates of $2.17 billion (35.2% year-on-year growth, 13.2% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $8.25 vs analyst estimates of $6.29 (31.3% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $413.9 million vs analyst estimates of $323.7 million (16.9% margin, 27.8% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 15.5%, up from 11.2% in the same quarter last year
  • Backlog: $9.38 billion at quarter end, up 65.1% year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $29.03 billion

StockStory’s Take

Comfort Systems’ third quarter results reflected robust demand, particularly in technology-related construction and modular projects, driving both double-digit revenue and margin growth. Management highlighted that strong execution in mechanical and electrical segments, along with favorable late-stage project developments, contributed to profitability. CEO Brian Lane credited the company’s “amazing teams across the country” and noted that service revenue and profit also grew at double-digit rates. COO Trent McKenna pointed out that technology projects represented a significantly larger share of revenue compared to the prior year, and backlog reached new highs, driven by bookings in both traditional and modular construction.

Looking ahead, management expects continued strength in construction and service lines as high demand in industrial, technology, and institutional markets persists. The company anticipates that modular capacity expansion and recent acquisitions will support growth into 2026. CFO William George stated, “We expect that 2026 profit margins are likely to continue in the strong ranges that we have achieved and averaged over recent quarters.” Management also plans to focus on maintaining disciplined project selection and workforce development to ensure sustainable execution as backlogs grow.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management attributed outperformance to surging demand in technology and industrial construction, operational productivity gains, and a record backlog fueled by broad-based customer bookings.

  • Technology sector momentum: A substantial increase in bookings and revenue from technology projects, including data centers, propelled overall growth. Management reported that technology now accounts for 42% of total revenue, up from 32% last year, reflecting heightened demand for complex, large-scale builds.

  • Strong modular construction demand: The company’s modular business benefited from multi-year project wins and increased customer preference for offsite construction solutions, with modular now accounting for 17% of year-to-date revenue. Management noted that current modular capacity is nearly sold out for the coming year, prompting consideration of further expansion.

  • Industrial and institutional strength: Industrial customers, encompassing sectors like manufacturing and technology, drove 65% of total revenue, while institutional markets such as healthcare and education remained resilient. Management highlighted that the project pipeline for both areas remains robust, supporting the company’s positive outlook.

  • Operational productivity improvements: Investments in automation, robotics, and workforce collaboration contributed to higher margins and efficiency, particularly in the modular segment. Leadership emphasized that these initiatives enable scalable growth by improving project execution and quality.

  • Strategic acquisitions: The company acquired FZ Electrical and Meisner Electric, expanding its presence in industrial and healthcare markets. These acquisitions are expected to add over $200 million in annual revenue and bolster the company’s capabilities in key regions.

Drivers of Future Performance

Management expects future performance to be driven by sustained demand in technology and industrial sectors, strategic modular investments, and disciplined project execution.

  • Continued technology and data center demand: The company anticipates that technology-related construction, especially data centers, will remain a primary growth driver, supported by robust customer pipelines and early project commitments. Management believes these projects provide visibility into future revenue streams and margin stability.

  • Modular capacity expansion and innovation: Plans to increase modular production capacity are underway, with management citing nearly full utilization of existing space and customer demand outpacing supply. Investments in automation and process innovation are expected to enhance productivity, lower costs, and support profitable growth.

  • Workforce development and selective project approach: Management highlighted ongoing efforts to recruit and train skilled workers, along with a disciplined approach to project selection. This strategy is intended to ensure the company can capitalize on strong market demand without overextending resources, mitigating labor constraints and execution risks.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In upcoming quarters, the StockStory team will watch (1) whether technology and modular construction bookings remain elevated and translate into sustained backlog growth, (2) the pace and impact of newly acquired businesses on regional expansion and profitability, and (3) continued operational productivity gains from automation and workforce development. Updates on modular capacity expansion and progress in converting construction projects to service contracts will also serve as important indicators.

Comfort Systems currently trades at $981.66, up from $825.79 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

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