
The stocks in this article have caught Wall Street’s attention in a big way, with price targets implying returns above 20%. But investors should take these forecasts with a grain of salt because analysts typically say nice things about companies so their firms can win business in other product lines like M&A advisory.
Unlike the investment banks, we created StockStory to provide independent analysis that helps you determine which companies are truly worth following. Keeping that in mind, here are three stocks where Wall Street’s enthusiasm may be misplaced and some other investments worth exploring instead.
Paycom (PAYC)
Consensus Price Target: $151.44 (21.6% implied return)
Pioneering the concept of employees doing their own payroll with its "Beti" technology, Paycom (NYSE: PAYC) provides cloud-based human capital management software that helps businesses manage the entire employment lifecycle from recruitment to retirement.
Why Does PAYC Worry Us?
- Customers had second thoughts about committing to its platform over the last year as its average billings growth of 9% underwhelmed
- Estimated sales growth of 6.7% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its two-year trend
- Operating margin failed to increase over the last year, indicating the company couldn’t optimize its expenses
Paycom’s stock price of $124.50 implies a valuation ratio of 2.9x forward price-to-sales. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than PAYC.
Columbus McKinnon (CMCO)
Consensus Price Target: $25.50 (75.4% implied return)
With 19 different brands across the globe, Columbus McKinnon (NASDAQ: CMCO) offers material handling equipment for the construction, manufacturing, and transportation industries.
Why Do We Think CMCO Will Underperform?
- Incremental sales over the last two years were much less profitable as its earnings per share fell by 16.9% annually while its revenue grew
- Capital intensity has ramped up over the last five years as its free cash flow margin decreased by 17.7 percentage points
- Short cash runway increases the probability of a capital raise that dilutes existing shareholders
Columbus McKinnon is trading at $14.54 per share, or 8.3x forward P/E. If you’re considering CMCO for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.
CooperCompanies (COO)
Consensus Price Target: $80.57 (23.1% implied return)
With a history dating back to 1958 and a portfolio spanning two distinct healthcare segments, Cooper Companies (NASDAQ: COO) develops and manufactures medical devices focused on vision care through contact lenses and women's health including fertility products and services.
Why Are We Wary of COO?
- 6.5% annual revenue growth over the last two years was slower than its healthcare peers
- Estimated sales growth of 4.1% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its two-year trend
- Below-average returns on capital indicate management struggled to find compelling investment opportunities
At $65.43 per share, CooperCompanies trades at 13.9x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why COO doesn’t pass our bar.
Stocks We Like More
WHILE YOU’RE HERE: Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. The best stocks don’t just beat the market once. They do it again. And again. Robust revenue growth, rising free cash flow, returns on capital that leave their competition in the dust. The market has already rewarded these businesses.
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Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Exlservice (+354% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.