
Fast-food chain Wingstop (NASDAQ: WING) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q4 CY2025, but sales rose 8.6% year on year to $175.7 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $1 per share was 20% above analysts’ consensus estimates.
Is now the time to buy WING? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).
Wingstop (WING) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $175.7 million vs analyst estimates of $177.8 million (8.6% year-on-year growth, 1.2% miss)
- Adjusted EPS: $1 vs analyst estimates of $0.83 (20% beat)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $54.6 million vs analyst estimates of $58.14 million (31.1% margin, 6.1% miss)
- Operating Margin: 26.7%, in line with the same quarter last year
- Locations: 3,056 at quarter end, up from 2,563 in the same quarter last year
- Same-Store Sales fell 5.8% year on year (10.1% in the same quarter last year)
- Market Capitalization: $7.69 billion
StockStory’s Take
Wingstop’s fourth-quarter performance drew a significant positive market reaction, despite revenue falling slightly short of Wall Street expectations. Management attributed the quarter’s results to ongoing investments in restaurant technology and global expansion, including the full deployment of the Wingstop Smart Kitchen and entry into six new international markets. CEO Michael Skipworth highlighted operational improvements and a continued focus on unit economics, noting that company-owned restaurants achieved higher average unit volumes and healthy margins. Skipworth acknowledged challenges in same-store sales, which declined for the first time in over two decades, largely due to macroeconomic pressures on core consumers and pockets of weakness during lunch and snack dayparts. However, management pointed to strong signs of brand health and guest satisfaction, with Skipworth stating, “I continue to be reminded of how our business has scaled in the last three years.”
Looking ahead, management believes that the combination of new technology, a differentiated loyalty program, and global development will drive performance in 2026. Skipworth pointed to the national rollout of Club Wingstop, the company’s first loyalty program, as a key lever to boost guest frequency and retention. He also emphasized the importance of operational discipline, particularly achieving consistent 10-minute service times systemwide. With continued expansion into new international markets—most notably India—and the refinement of delivery operations, management expects these strategic initiatives to return Wingstop to same-store sales growth. CFO Alex Kaleida echoed this outlook, stating, “We are executing a clear plan to drive AUV expansion, protect industry-leading unit economics and scale towards our long-term opportunity.”
Key Insights from Management’s Remarks
Management credited Q4 results to the successful rollout of the Wingstop Smart Kitchen, expansion into new markets, and early progress with key brand initiatives, despite macroeconomic headwinds that pressured same-store sales.
- Smart Kitchen deployment completed: The Wingstop Smart Kitchen, a new AI-enabled kitchen platform, was installed in all domestic restaurants within 10 months. Management reported improved speed of service, with about half of locations achieving the target 10-minute order times. Early data showed increased lunch transactions and higher customer frequency where the new standard was met.
- Loyalty program pilot progress: The Club Wingstop loyalty pilot saw nearly 50% of active guests enroll in test markets, with a 7% increase in visit frequency and over 30% of new guests joining. Management expects the program’s national launch in mid-2026 to further boost guest retention and engagement, especially as features and personalization expand.
- International expansion momentum: Wingstop entered six new countries and opened more than 100 restaurants outside the U.S. The company’s international playbook, including experiential House of Flavors locations, drove strong performance and high average unit volumes in new markets, with plans to enter India in 2026.
- Brand campaign impact: The “Wingstop is here” campaign delivered record brand recall and expanded awareness among higher-income and Gen X cohorts. Management noted that the campaign’s Super Bowl activation brought in over 100,000 new guests in a single day, highlighting the resonance of the message.
- Leadership structure updates: The appointment of Raj Kapoor as Chief Operating Officer and the creation of new commercial and analytics teams were designed to streamline decision-making and accelerate technology innovation. These changes aim to support global growth and operational consistency as the company scales.
Drivers of Future Performance
Wingstop’s 2026 outlook is anchored by operational execution, loyalty program rollout, and continued international expansion as primary drivers of growth and profitability.
- Operational execution focus: Management emphasized achieving consistent 10-minute service times across all restaurants as critical for improving guest satisfaction and driving repeat visits. Recent data showed progress, but variability remains, particularly during high-traffic periods. The company is using performance scorecards and incentive programs to boost compliance.
- Loyalty and digital engagement: The national launch of Club Wingstop, targeting over 60 million users in its digital database, is expected to drive higher retention and frequency, with early pilot results already showing positive impact. Management believes that even small increases in visit frequency could meaningfully advance its goal of reaching $3 million average unit volumes.
- Global development pipeline: Wingstop’s committed pipeline of more than 2,300 new restaurants—including a significant push into India—is expected to sustain double-digit unit growth. Management highlighted disciplined market entry strategies and strong brand partner demand, while also monitoring for potential cannibalization and market saturation risks.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
In the upcoming quarters, StockStory analysts will be watching (1) the systemwide adoption of consistent 10-minute service times and its effect on guest frequency, (2) the national rollout and early performance metrics of Club Wingstop, and (3) the pace and profitability of new international market openings, especially in India. Additionally, we will track how delivery time optimizations and brand campaigns influence customer acquisition and retention.
Wingstop currently trades at $276.28, up from $251.78 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).
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