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CoreCivic (CXW) Stock Is Up, What You Need To Know

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What Happened?

Shares of private prison operator CoreCivic (NYSE: CXW) jumped 3.2% in the afternoon session after reports revealed Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) rewrote national detention standards, a move expected to benefit private prison operators. 

The revised standards, which apply to for-profit contractors like CoreCivic, was viewed by some as potentially beneficial for the companies that operate ICE detention facilities. This news contributed to the stock's recent strong performance, which includes a 14-day winning streak where it climbed 37%. The positive sentiment appears to be sector-wide, as competitor Geo Group also saw its stock reach a 52-week high.

The shares were trading at $29.86, up 3.3% from the previous close.

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What Is The Market Telling Us

CoreCivic’s shares are quite volatile and have had 16 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The biggest move we wrote about over the last year was 8 months ago when the stock dropped 12.2% on the news that the company reported third-quarter results that missed profit expectations and lowered its full-year earnings guidance.

While revenue grew a strong 18.1% year-over-year to $580.4 million and beat Wall Street's expectations, this was overshadowed by weakness in profitability. The company's adjusted earnings of $0.24 per share fell short of analysts' estimates of $0.26. 

More significantly, management slashed its full-year outlook, cutting its adjusted EPS guidance to a midpoint of $1.03, a 6.8% decrease from prior projections. Full-year EBITDA guidance was also lowered, signaling to investors that near-term profitability pressures outweighed the strong quarterly sales growth.

CoreCivic is up 57% since the beginning of the year, and at $29.86 per share, it has set a new 52-week high. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of CoreCivic’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $2,619.

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