Hair care company Olaplex (NASDAQ: OLPX) will be announcing earnings results this Thursday before the bell. Here’s what to expect.
Olaplex beat analysts’ revenue expectations by 5% last quarter, reporting revenues of $106.3 million, up 2.3% year on year. It was a strong quarter for the company, with a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and an impressive beat of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates.
Is Olaplex a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, it’s free for active Edge members.
This quarter, analysts are expecting Olaplex’s revenue to decline 7.7% year on year to $109.9 million, a further deceleration from the 3.6% decrease it recorded in the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings are expected to come in at $0.02 per share.
Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business to stay the course heading into earnings. Olaplex has only missed Wall Street’s revenue estimates once over the last two years, exceeding top-line expectations by 4% on average.
Looking at Olaplex’s peers in the personal care segment, some have already reported their Q3 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. Estée Lauder delivered year-on-year revenue growth of 3.5%, beating analysts’ expectations by 2.9%, and Medifast reported a revenue decline of 36.2%, in line with consensus estimates. Estée Lauder’s stock price was unchanged after the resultsand Medifast’s price followed a similar reaction.
Read our full analysis of Estée Lauder’s results here and Medifast’s results here.
Debates around the economy’s health and the impact of potential tariffs and corporate tax cuts have caused much uncertainty in 2025. While some of the personal care stocks have shown solid performance in this choppy environment, the group has generally underperformed, with share prices down 6.3% on average over the last month. Olaplex is down 19.5% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $2.01 (compared to the current share price of $1.03).
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