First Watch’s (NASDAQ:FWRG) Q2 CY2026: Beats On Revenue, Stock Soars

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Breakfast restaurant chain First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ: FWRG) reported revenue ahead of Wall Street’s expectations in Q2 CY2026, with sales up 15.2% year on year to $354.7 million. Its GAAP profit of $0.04 per share was $0.01 below analysts’ consensus estimates.

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First Watch (FWRG) Q2 CY2026 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $354.7 million vs analyst estimates of $351.4 million (15.2% year-on-year growth, 0.9% beat)
  • EPS (GAAP): $0.04 vs analyst estimates of $0.05 ($0.01 miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $34.47 million vs analyst estimates of $34.57 million (9.7% margin, in line)
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $134.5 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $136.6 million
  • Operating Margin: 2.3%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Locations: 665 at quarter end, up from 600 in the same quarter last year
  • Same-Store Sales rose 3.4% year on year, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $770.6 million

“This momentum underscores the enduring appeal of our differentiated brand, the discipline of our operating model and the outstanding performance of our teams across the system.,” stated Chris Tomasso, CEO and President of First Watch.

Company Overview

Based on a nautical reference to the first work shift aboard a ship, First Watch (NASDAQ: FWRG) is a chain of breakfast and brunch restaurants whose menu is heavily-focused on eggs and griddle items such as pancakes.

Revenue Growth

Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years.

With $1.32 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, First Watch is a mid-sized restaurant chain, which sometimes brings disadvantages compared to larger competitors benefiting from better brand awareness and economies of scale. On the bright side, it can still flex high growth rates because it’s working from a smaller revenue base.

As you can see below, First Watch grew its sales at an excellent 18.2% compounded annual growth rate over the last seven years as it opened new restaurants and increased sales at existing, established dining locations.

First Watch Quarterly Revenue

This quarter, First Watch reported year-on-year revenue growth of 15.2%, and its $354.7 million of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 0.9%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 11.1% over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last seven years. Despite the slowdown, this projection is admirable and suggests the market is baking in success for its menu offerings.

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Restaurant Performance

Number of Restaurants

The number of dining locations a restaurant chain operates is a critical driver of how quickly company-level sales can grow.

First Watch operated 665 locations in the latest quarter. It has opened new restaurants at a rapid clip over the last two years, averaging 10.6% annual growth, much faster than the broader restaurant sector. This gives it a chance to become a large, scaled business over time.

When a chain opens new restaurants, it usually means it’s investing for growth because there’s healthy demand for its meals and there are markets where its concepts have few or no locations.

First Watch Operating Locations

Same-Store Sales

The change in a company’s restaurant base only tells one side of the story. The other is the performance of its existing locations, which informs management teams whether they should expand or downsize their physical footprints. Same-store sales is an industry measure of whether revenue is growing at those existing restaurants and is driven by customer visits (often called traffic) and the average spending per customer (ticket).

First Watch’s demand rose over the last two years and slightly outpaced the industry. On average, the company’s same-store sales have grown by 2.3% per year. This performance gives it the confidence to meaningfully expand its restaurant base.

First Watch Same-Store Sales Growth

In the latest quarter, First Watch’s same-store sales rose 3.4% year on year. This growth was an acceleration from its historical levels, which is always an encouraging sign.

Key Takeaways from First Watch’s Q2 Results

We enjoyed seeing First Watch beat analysts’ same-store sales expectations this quarter. We were also happy its revenue narrowly outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its EPS was in line and its full-year EBITDA guidance fell short of Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, this was a mixed quarter. The stock traded up 6.6% to $13.33 immediately after reporting.

Is First Watch an attractive investment opportunity right now? What happened in the latest quarter matters, but not as much as longer-term business quality and valuation, when deciding whether to invest in this stock. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here (it’s free).

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