Over the last six months, Gilead Sciences’s shares have sunk to $137.77, producing a disappointing 11.3% loss - a stark contrast to the S&P 500’s 13.1% gain. This might have investors contemplating their next move.
Is now the time to buy Gilead Sciences, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? See what our analysts have to say in our full research report, it’s free.
Why Is Gilead Sciences Not Exciting?
Even with the cheaper entry price, we don’t have much confidence in Gilead Sciences. Here are three reasons why GILD doesn’t excite us, plus one stock we’d rather own.
1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints
A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Regrettably, Gilead Sciences’s sales grew at a tepid 2.7% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This was below our standards.
2. Shrinking Adjusted Operating Margin
Adjusted operating margin is one of the best measures of profitability because it tells us how much money a company takes home after subtracting all core expenses, like marketing and R&D. It also removes various one-time costs to paint a better picture of normalized profits.
Looking at the trend in its profitability, Gilead Sciences’s adjusted operating margin decreased by 34.2 percentage points over the last five years. This raises questions about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability. Its adjusted operating margin for the trailing 12 months was 9.7%.
3. EPS Trending Down
Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company’s incremental sales were profitable — for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.
Sadly for Gilead Sciences, its EPS declined by 15.4% annually over the last five years while its revenue grew by 2.7%. This tells us the company became less profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.
Final Judgment
Gilead Sciences isn’t a terrible business, but it isn’t one of our picks. Following the recent decline, the stock trades at 14.9× forward P/E (or $137.77 per share). While this valuation is fair, the upside isn’t great compared to the potential downside. We’re pretty confident there are superior stocks to buy right now. We’d recommend looking at the most entrenched endpoint security platform on the market.
Stocks We Like More Than Gilead Sciences
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