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Medpace’s (NASDAQ:MEDP) Q1 CY2026 Sales Beat Estimates But Stock Drops 19.8%

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Clinical research company Medpace Holdings (NASDAQ: MEDP) reported Q1 CY2026 results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, with sales up 26.5% year on year to $706.6 million. The company expects the full year’s revenue to be around $2.81 billion, close to analysts’ estimates. Its GAAP profit of $4.28 per share was 10.2% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy Medpace? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free.

Medpace (MEDP) Q1 CY2026 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $706.6 million vs analyst estimates of $696.3 million (26.5% year-on-year growth, 1.5% beat)
  • EPS (GAAP): $4.28 vs analyst estimates of $3.88 (10.2% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $149.4 million vs analyst estimates of $138.1 million (21.1% margin, 8.2% beat)
  • The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $2.81 billion at the midpoint
  • EPS (GAAP) guidance for the full year is $17.09 at the midpoint, roughly in line with what analysts were expecting
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $620 million at the midpoint, in line with analyst expectations
  • Operating Margin: 20%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 20.5%, similar to the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue rose 25.8% year on year (beat)
  • Market Capitalization: $14.7 billion

Company Overview

Founded in 1992 as a scientifically-driven alternative to traditional contract research organizations, Medpace (NASDAQ: MEDP) provides outsourced clinical trial management and research services to help pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device companies develop new treatments.

Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Over the last five years, Medpace grew its sales at an excellent 22.9% compounded annual growth rate. Its growth beat the average healthcare company and shows its offerings resonate with customers, a helpful starting point for our analysis.

Medpace Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within healthcare, a half-decade historical view may miss recent innovations or disruptive industry trends. Medpace’s annualized revenue growth of 16.8% over the last two years is below its five-year trend, but we still think the results suggest healthy demand. Medpace Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

We can better understand the company’s sales dynamics by analyzing its organic revenue, which strips out one-time events like acquisitions and currency fluctuations that don’t accurately reflect its fundamentals. Over the last two years, Medpace’s organic revenue averaged 16.9% year-on-year growth. Because this number aligns with its two-year revenue growth, we can see the company’s core operations (not acquisitions and divestitures) drove most of its results. Medpace Organic Revenue Growth

This quarter, Medpace reported robust year-on-year revenue growth of 26.5%, and its $706.6 million of revenue topped Wall Street estimates by 1.5%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 5.8% over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last two years. Despite the slowdown, this projection is above the sector average and implies the market is forecasting some success for its newer products and services.

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Adjusted Operating Margin

Medpace has been an efficient company over the last five years. It was one of the more profitable businesses in the healthcare sector, boasting an average adjusted operating margin of 20.5%.

Looking at the trend in its profitability, Medpace’s adjusted operating margin rose by 2.8 percentage points over the last five years, as its sales growth gave it operating leverage. The company’s two-year trajectory shows its performance was mostly driven by its recent improvements. These data points are very encouraging and show momentum is on its side.

Medpace Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (Non-GAAP)

This quarter, Medpace generated an adjusted operating margin profit margin of 20.7%, down 1.2 percentage points year on year. This reduction is quite minuscule and indicates the company’s overall cost structure has been relatively stable.

Earnings Per Share

Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Medpace’s EPS grew at 30.2% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 22.9% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Medpace Trailing 12-Month EPS (GAAP)

Diving into the nuances of Medpace’s earnings can give us a better understanding of its performance. As we mentioned earlier, Medpace’s adjusted operating margin declined this quarter but expanded by 2.8 percentage points over the last five years. Its share count also shrank by 23.3%, and these factors together are positive signs for shareholders because improving profitability and share buybacks turbocharge EPS growth relative to revenue growth. Medpace Diluted Shares Outstanding

In Q1, Medpace reported EPS of $4.28, up from $3.67 in the same quarter last year. This print easily cleared analysts’ estimates, and shareholders should be content with the results. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Medpace’s full-year EPS of $15.90 to grow 10.7%.

Key Takeaways from Medpace’s Q1 Results

It was good to see Medpace beat analysts’ EPS expectations this quarter. We were also happy its revenue narrowly outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, this print had some key positives. Investors were likely hoping for more, and shares traded down 19.8% to $408 immediately after reporting.

So should you invest in Medpace right now? When making that decision, it’s important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here (it’s free).

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