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United Airlines’s (NASDAQ:UAL) Q1 CY2026 Sales Beat Estimates

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Airline company United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ: UAL) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q1 CY2026, with sales up 10.6% year on year to $14.61 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.19 per share was 8.9% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

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United Airlines (UAL) Q1 CY2026 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $14.61 billion vs analyst estimates of $14.44 billion (10.6% year-on-year growth, 1.1% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.19 vs analyst estimates of $1.09 (8.9% beat)
  • 2026 adjusted EPS guidance: reduced guidance to $7-$11 a share, down from $12-$14 a share at the start of the year, before the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran and fuel prices surged
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $1.39 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.42 billion (9.5% margin, 1.8% miss)
  • Operating Margin: 6.8%, up from 4.6% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 19.9%, up from 18.7% in the same quarter last year
  • Revenue Passenger Miles: up 3.87 billion year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $32.11 billion

Company Overview

Founded in 1926, United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ: UAL) operates a global airline network, providing passenger and cargo air transportation services across domestic and international routes.

Revenue Growth

Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Luckily, United Airlines’s sales grew at a decent 41.7% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. Its growth was slightly above the average consumer discretionary company and shows its offerings resonate with customers.

United Airlines Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within consumer discretionary, a stretched historical view may miss a company riding a successful new property or trend. United Airlines’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 5% over the last two years was below its five-year trend. We’re wary when companies in the sector see decelerations in revenue growth, as it could signal changing consumer tastes aided by low switching costs. United Airlines Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

We can dig further into the company’s revenue dynamics by analyzing its number of revenue passenger miles, which reached 63.39 billion in the latest quarter. Over the last two years, United Airlines’s revenue passenger miles averaged 5.3% year-on-year growth. Because this number aligns with its revenue growth during the same period, we can see the company’s monetization was fairly consistent. United Airlines Revenue Passenger Miles

This quarter, United Airlines reported year-on-year revenue growth of 10.6%, and its $14.61 billion of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 1.1%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 11.9% over the next 12 months. While this projection suggests its newer products and services will fuel better top-line performance, it is still below the sector average.

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Operating Margin

United Airlines’s operating margin has been trending down over the last 12 months and averaged 9.1% over the last two years. The company’s profitability was mediocre for a consumer discretionary business and shows it couldn’t pass its higher operating expenses onto its customers.

United Airlines Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

In Q1, United Airlines generated an operating margin profit margin of 6.8%, up 2.2 percentage points year on year. This increase was a welcome development and shows it was more efficient.

Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

United Airlines’s full-year EPS flipped from negative to positive over the last five years. This is encouraging and shows it’s at a critical moment in its life.

United Airlines Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

In Q1, United Airlines reported adjusted EPS of $1.19, up from $0.91 in the same quarter last year. This print beat analysts’ estimates by 10%. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects United Airlines’s full-year EPS of $10.94 to shrink by 13.4%.

Key Takeaways from United Airlines’s Q1 Results

We were impressed by how significantly United Airlines blew past analysts’ operating income expectations this quarter on better-than-expected revenue. We were also glad its EPS outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. Looking ahead, the company reduced its full-year EPS guidance, though, as higher fuel prices hurt profits. Overall, we think this was a good quarter with weaker guidance, although the market had been anticipating a cut given how energy prices have moved. The stock traded up 1.1% to $98.25 immediately after reporting.

United Airlines had an encouraging quarter, but one earnings result doesn’t necessarily make the stock a buy. Let’s see if this is a good investment. If you’re making that decision, you should consider the bigger picture of valuation, business qualities, as well as the latest earnings. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here (it’s free).

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