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5 Revealing Analyst Questions From Saia’s Q2 Earnings Call

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Saia’s second quarter was marked by flat year-on-year sales, but the company exceeded Wall Street’s revenue and non-GAAP earnings expectations, leading to a positive market reaction. Management attributed these results to operational efficiency gains and disciplined cost controls, particularly in network optimization and variable cost management. CEO Frederick Holzgrefe pointed to ongoing efforts to align costs with subdued shipment volumes, highlighting improvements in the company’s newer markets and a focus on customer service. Holzgrefe noted, “Our efforts to optimize our variable costs and improve our network efficiency contributed to this outperformance.”

Is now the time to buy SAIA? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Saia (SAIA) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $817.1 million vs analyst estimates of $807.7 million (flat year on year, 1.2% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $2.67 vs analyst estimates of $2.39 (11.6% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $161.9 million vs analyst estimates of $149.2 million (19.8% margin, 8.6% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 12.2%, down from 16.7% in the same quarter last year
  • Sales Volumes rose 1.1% year on year (9.7% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $8.00 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Saia’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Ken Hoexter (Bank of America) asked whether volume could turn positive in the third quarter given seasonal patterns. CFO Matthew Batteh replied that year-over-year comparisons would be more difficult due to recent terminal openings, and management expects operating ratio degradation to be limited to around 100 basis points sequentially.
  • Richa Harnain (Deutsche Bank) inquired about labor reductions and wage increases. CEO Frederick Holzgrefe explained that most headcount adjustments were through reduced overtime and aligning hours, and that the timing of annual wage increases is still under review.
  • Jordan Alliger (Goldman Sachs) questioned industry capacity and potential pricing in a recovery. Holzgrefe emphasized that equipment and driver availability, in addition to terminals, would be critical in the next upcycle, and that Saia’s investments position it well.
  • Jonathan Chappell (Evercore ISI) asked about the lower contractual renewal rate and competitive market dynamics. Batteh clarified that the renewal number varies depending on the portfolio due each quarter, but that the pricing environment remains rational and service quality is a key differentiator.
  • Tyler Brown (Raymond James) sought detail on network balance and efficiency gains in new terminals. Holzgrefe confirmed that inbound/outbound ratios are improving but further work is needed to reach optimal density and efficiency.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In future quarters, the StockStory team will monitor (1) further improvements in network density and direct routing in newly opened markets, (2) the impact of cost management initiatives on operating margins as shipment volumes fluctuate, and (3) the pace at which Saia can capitalize on its expanded national footprint to gain share with both existing and new customers. Progress on technology-driven efficiency gains and customer service metrics will also be important indicators.

Saia currently trades at $305.98, down from $310.78 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

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