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5 Insightful Analyst Questions From First Watch’s Q2 Earnings Call

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First Watch’s second quarter results were met with a positive market reaction, as management attributed performance to robust new restaurant openings, successful franchise acquisitions, and sequential improvement in same-restaurant traffic. CEO Chris Tomasso highlighted that the company’s strategic focus on pricing discipline and customer experience, including enhanced marketing efforts and menu innovation, helped drive 2% traffic growth and broadened the brand’s demographic appeal. Notably, First Watch achieved its busiest day ever on Mother’s Day, reflecting increased customer demand and operational execution.

Is now the time to buy FWRG? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

First Watch (FWRG) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $307.9 million vs analyst estimates of $306.6 million (19.1% year-on-year growth, in line)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.05 vs analyst estimates of $0.06 ($0.01 miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $30.38 million vs analyst estimates of $30.33 million (9.9% margin, in line)
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $121 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $114.6 million
  • Operating Margin: 2.4%, down from 6.4% in the same quarter last year
  • Locations: 600 at quarter end, up from 538 in the same quarter last year
  • Same-Store Sales rose 3.5% year on year (-0.3% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $1.09 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From First Watch’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • James Ronald Salera (Stephens Inc.): asked if the shift to younger customers was driven by geographic expansion or digital engagement; CEO Chris Tomasso emphasized both market entry and targeted marketing as key factors.
  • Pratik Mahendra Patel (Barclays): questioned confidence in raised EBITDA outlook amid consumer volatility; Tomasso cited easing egg costs and resilient same-restaurant traffic as underpinning guidance.
  • Todd Morrison Brooks (The Benchmark Company): asked about the impact of marketing tactics on traffic; Chief Brand Officer Matt Eisenacher highlighted targeted campaigns in core geographies and efficient digital spend.
  • Jon Michael Tower (Citi): inquired about the mix of new store formats and the persistence of second-generation sites in the pipeline; Tomasso stated these locations will remain a significant component of development over the next few years.
  • Brian Hugh Mullan (Piper Sandler): sought clarification on margin impacts from hospitality initiatives; Tomasso explained these are embedded in the business model and have been managed through improved operational tools and training.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In upcoming quarters, the StockStory team will watch (1) the pace and success of new restaurant openings, particularly the performance of second-generation sites; (2) the impact of digital enhancements on guest traffic and satisfaction; and (3) the ability to sustain margin improvement as commodity costs stabilize. Execution against these priorities, along with ongoing marketing traction among younger consumers, will be critical signposts for continued growth.

First Watch currently trades at $18.08, up from $17.23 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

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