Some participants noted that the recent increases in inflation had been relatively broad based and therefore should not be discounted as merely statistical aberrations. However, a few participants noted that residual seasonality could have affected the inflation readings at the start of the year. In addition...Several participants noted that the disinflationary pressure for core goods that had resulted from the receding of supply chain bottlenecks was likely to moderate.As a consequence, the market's expectations of the first rate cut has been pushed out to September, with only two cuts in 2024.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjHoZ-PZjFHdUkfVFhkTJkh4mCOzyifUY9a-VcXhxBUtmqfQ5WQbyzbvaP5ytdIn5EcWYkEjku3qkIQphQGxB1kcSmsJ2zZ4nf2Jmo8_NAyj-2hiie1xZa2zwxLJsxrVA6JIY-uCRkqJ7ewWSEr1W8zOG5kutwEn9yyUBcVrWAlIk2Kyp1Z0MFGn241Q8RU/w400-h228/Fed%20Funds%20probability.png)
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