form10q.htm


UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-Q

 
S
QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES  EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
 
For the quarterly period ended SEPTEMBER 30, 2008
 
OR
 
£
TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
 
For the transition period from ________________to __________________
 

Commission File Number: 0-10956

 
EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC.
 
 
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
 

 
Iowa
 
42-6234555
 
 
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)
 
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)
 

 
717 Mulberry Street, Des Moines, Iowa
 
50309
 
 
(Address of principal executive office)
 
(Zip Code)
 

 
(515) 345-2902
 
 
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Sections 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
x  Yes    ¨  No

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, or a smaller reporting company.  See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer” and “smaller reporting company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

Large accelerated filer   
¨
 
Accelerated filer  
x
Non accelerated filer     
¨
 
Smaller reporting company
¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).
¨  Yes    x  No

Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date.

 
Class
 
Outstanding at October 31, 2008
 
 
Common stock, $1.00 par value
 
13,281,424
 

Total pages   76
 


 
 

 
 
TABLE OF CONTENTS
 
     
PAGE
PART I
FINANCIAL INFORMATION
 
Item 1.
3
Item 2.
20
Item 3.
40
Item 4.
40
       
PART II
OTHER INFORMATION
 
Item 1A.
41
Item 2.
42
Item 6.
43
       
44
       
45

 
PART I.
FINANCIAL INFORMATION

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(Unaudited)

 
   
September 30,
   
December 31,
 
   
2008
   
2007
 
ASSETS
           
Investments:
           
Fixed maturities:
           
Securities held-to-maturity, at amortized cost (fair value $667,640 and $688,728)
  $ 613,036     $ 636,969  
Securities available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost $802,768,974 and $766,462,351)
    785,615,615       785,253,286  
Fixed maturity securities on loan:
               
Securities available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost $1,044,805 and $58,865,232)
    937,957       58,994,666  
Equity securities available-for-sale, at fair value (cost $83,457,209 and $97,847,545)
    105,931,049       139,427,726  
Other long-term investments, at cost
    75,727       101,988  
Short-term investments, at cost
    63,600,655       53,295,310  
Total investments
    956,774,039       1,037,709,945  
                 
                 
Balances resulting from related party transactions with Employers Mutual:
               
Reinsurance receivables
    37,440,114       33,272,405  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    4,793,915       4,465,836  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    37,979,430       34,687,804  
Defined benefit retirement plan, prepaid asset
    10,525,477       11,451,758  
Other assets
    3,834,031       2,488,309  
Indebtedness of related party
    11,403,530       -  
                 
Cash
    428,764       262,963  
Accrued investment income
    11,282,159       11,288,005  
Accounts receivable
    146,024       81,141  
Income taxes recoverable
    5,701,683       3,595,645  
Deferred income taxes
    26,128,999       1,682,597  
Goodwill
    941,586       941,586  
Securities lending collateral
    999,786       60,785,148  
Total assets
  $ 1,108,379,537     $ 1,202,713,142  


See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

3

 
EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

(Unaudited)

   
September 30,
   
December 31,
 
   
2008
   
2007
 
LIABILITIES
           
Balances resulting from related party transactions with Employers Mutual:
           
Losses and settlement expenses
  $ 576,131,898     $ 551,602,006  
Unearned premiums
    171,191,039       158,156,683  
Other policyholders' funds
    4,493,372       8,273,187  
Surplus notes payable
    25,000,000       25,000,000  
Indebtedness to related party
    -       5,918,396  
Employee retirement plans
    11,694,384       10,518,351  
Other liabilities
    15,465,590       22,107,379  
                 
Securities lending obligation
    999,786       60,785,148  
Total liabilities
    804,976,069       842,361,150  
                 
STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
               
Common stock, $1 par value, authorized 20,000,000 shares; issued and outstanding, 13,354,329 shares in 2008 and 13,777,880 shares in 2007
    13,354,329       13,777,880  
Additional paid-in capital
    97,418,888       108,030,228  
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    6,773,412       42,961,904  
Retained earnings
    185,856,839       195,581,980  
Total stockholders' equity
    303,403,468       360,351,992  
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity
  $ 1,108,379,537     $ 1,202,713,142  


See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

4

 
EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME

(Unaudited)

All balances presented below, with the exception of net investment income, realized investment gains (losses) and income tax expense (benefit), are the result of related party transactions with Employers Mutual.

   
Three months ended
   
Nine months ended
 
   
September 30,
   
September 30,
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2008
   
2007
 
REVENUES
                       
Premiums earned
  $ 96,409,215     $ 96,814,666     $ 288,004,696     $ 290,819,735  
Investment income, net
    12,251,192       12,252,434       36,190,779       35,894,974  
Realized investment gains (losses)
    (14,096,517 )     (281,192 )     (16,637,524 )     1,232,099  
Other income
    191,161       111,646       499,059       382,547  
      94,755,051       108,897,554       308,057,010       328,329,355  
LOSSES AND EXPENSES
                               
Losses and settlement expenses
    81,644,261       64,535,472       221,987,946       174,425,544  
Dividends to policyholders
    752,432       2,443,572       3,028,440       6,180,287  
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
    20,250,192       20,948,818       64,655,459       65,220,446  
Other underwriting expenses
    8,043,689       11,183,359       25,173,590       30,164,170  
Interest expense
    225,000       278,100       664,375       834,300  
Other expense
    228,532       720,358       1,456,548       1,853,410  
      111,144,106       100,109,679       316,966,358       278,678,157  
                                 
Income (loss) before income tax expense (benefit)
    (16,389,055 )     8,787,875       (8,909,348 )     49,651,198  
                                 
INCOME TAX EXPENSE (BENEFIT)
                               
Current
    (2,971,046 )     1,991,833       (1,890,548 )     15,229,164  
Deferred
    (3,960,440 )     68,005       (4,839,887 )     (997,831 )
      (6,931,486 )     2,059,838       (6,730,435 )     14,231,333  
                                 
Net income (loss)
  $ (9,457,569 )   $ 6,728,037     $ (2,178,913 )   $ 35,419,865  
                                 
Net income (loss) per common share -basic and diluted
  $ (0.70 )   $ 0.49     $ (0.16 )   $ 2.57  
                                 
Dividend per common share
  $ 0.18     $ 0.17     $ 0.54     $ 0.51  
                                 
Average number of common shares outstanding -basic and diluted
    13,413,718       13,764,763       13,615,224       13,759,465  


See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

5

 
EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

(Unaudited)
 
 
   
Three months ended
   
Nine months ended
 
   
September 30,
   
September 30,
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2008
   
2007
 
                         
Net income (loss)
  $ (9,457,569 )   $ 6,728,037     $ (2,178,913 )   $ 35,419,865  
                                 
OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (LOSS)
                               
Change in unrealized holding gains (losses) on investment securities, before deferred income tax expense (benefit)
    (53,897,957 )     13,310,652       (71,924,441 )     14,440,572  
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
    (18,864,285 )     4,658,728       (25,173,554 )     5,054,202  
      (35,033,672 )     8,651,924       (46,750,887 )     9,386,370  
                                 
Reclassification adjustment for realized investment (gains) losses included in net income (loss), before income tax (expense) benefit
    14,096,517       284,017       16,637,524       (1,229,274 )
Income tax (expense) benefit
    4,933,781       99,406       5,823,133       (430,246 )
      9,162,736       184,611       10,814,391       (799,028 )
                                 
Adjustment for amounts recognized in net income (loss) associated with Employers Mutual's retirement benefit plans, before deferred income tax expense (benefit):
                               
Net actuarial loss
    14,846       15,106       44,538       45,318  
Prior service cost (credit)
    (120,456 )     33,227       (361,368 )     99,681  
      (105,610 )     48,333       (316,830 )     144,999  
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
    (36,964 )     16,917       (110,891 )     50,751  
      (68,646 )     31,416       (205,939 )     94,248  
                                 
Other comprehensive income (loss)
    (25,939,582 )     8,867,951       (36,142,435 )     8,681,590  
                                 
Total comprehensive income (loss)
  $ (35,397,151 )   $ 15,595,988     $ (38,321,348 )   $ 44,101,455  


See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

6

 
EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

(Unaudited)

   
Nine months ended
 
   
September 30,
 
   
2008
   
2007
 
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
           
Net  income (loss)
  $ (2,178,913 )   $ 35,419,865  
                 
Adjustments to reconcile net income (loss) to net cash provided by operating activities:
               
Balances resulting from related party transactions with Employers Mutual:
               
Losses and settlement expenses
    24,529,892       (6,866,185 )
Unearned premiums
    13,034,356       14,394,893  
Other policyholders' funds
    (3,779,815 )     791,745  
Indebtedness to related party
    (17,321,926 )     (29,657,184 )
Employee retirement plans
    1,356,784       2,099,725  
Reinsurance receivables
    (4,167,709 )     2,178,463  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    (328,079 )     (393,343 )
Commission payable
    (3,914,676 )     (4,363,756 )
Interest payable
    (108,125 )     (278,100 )
Prepaid assets
    (1,556,855 )     (1,783,960 )
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    (3,291,626 )     (3,146,789 )
Stock-based compensation plans
    209,382       65,148  
Other, net
    (2,434,945 )     1,827,137  
                 
Accrued investment income
    5,846       (739,722 )
Accrued income tax:
               
Current
    (2,074,349 )     (1,824,381 )
Deferred
    (4,839,887 )     (997,831 )
Realized investment (gains) losses
    16,637,524       (1,232,099 )
Accounts receivable
    (64,883 )     18,756  
Amortization of premium/discount on fixed maturity securities
    435,757       647,216  
      12,326,666       (29,260,267 )
Net cash provided by operating activities
  $ 10,147,753     $ 6,159,598  

 
EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS, CONTINUED

(Unaudited)

   
Nine months ended
 
   
September 30,
 
   
2008
   
2007
 
CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES
           
Maturities of fixed maturity securities held-to-maturity
  $ 24,199     $ 5,037,323  
Purchases of fixed maturity securities available-for-sale
    (255,769,765 )     (107,060,225 )
Disposals of fixed maturity securities available-for-sale
    277,015,316       80,302,852  
Purchases of equity securities available-for-sale
    (35,202,629 )     (31,937,163 )
Disposals of equity securities available-for-sale
    32,787,671       25,439,802  
Disposals of other long-term investments
    26,261       441,461  
Net (purchase) sales of short-term investments
    (10,305,345 )     27,985,921  
Net cash provided by investing activities
    8,575,708       209,971  
                 
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
               
Balances resulting from related party transactions with Employers Mutual:
               
Issuance of common stock through Employers Mutual's incentive stock option plans
    1,054,819       633,736  
Dividends paid to Employers Mutual
    (4,237,840 )     (3,968,999 )
                 
Repurchase of common stock
    (12,272,002 )     -  
Dividends paid to public stockholders
    (3,102,637 )     (3,049,822 )
Net cash used in financing activities
    (18,557,660 )     (6,385,085 )
                 
NET INCREASE (DECREASE) IN CASH
    165,801       (15,516 )
Cash at the beginning of the year
    262,963       196,274  
                 
Cash at the end of the quarter
  $ 428,764     $ 180,758  


See accompanying Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

8


EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

(Unaudited)


1.
BASIS OF PRESENTATION

The accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements have been prepared on the basis of U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) for interim financial information and with the instructions to Form 10-Q and Article 10 of Regulation S-X.  Accordingly, they do not include all of the information and notes required by GAAP for complete financial statements.  In the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal recurring adjustments) considered necessary for a fair presentation of the interim financial statements have been included.  The results of operations for the interim periods reported are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for the year.

The consolidated balance sheet at December 31, 2007 has been derived from the audited financial statements at that date, but does not include all of the information and notes required by GAAP for complete financial statements.

Certain amounts previously reported in prior years’ consolidated financial statements have been reclassified to conform to current year presentation.

In reading these financial statements, reference should be made to the Company’s 2007 Form 10-K or the 2007 Annual Report to Stockholders for more detailed footnote information.


2.
NEW ACCOUNTING PRONOUNCEMENTS

In September 2006, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 157, “Fair Value Measurements,” which defines fair value, establishes a framework for measuring fair value, and expands disclosures about fair value measurements.  The provisions of SFAS 157 are effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007, and interim periods within those fiscal years.  The Company adopted the requirements of SFAS 157 effective January 1, 2008, which resulted in additional disclosures, but no impact on operating results.  In October 2008, the FASB issued Staff Position No. FAS 157-3, “Determining the Fair Value of a Financial Asset When the Market For That Asset Is Not Active,” which clarifies the application of SFAS 157 in a market that is not active.  FAS 157-3 was effective upon issuance, including prior periods for which financial statements have not been issued.  Adoption of FAS 157-3 did not have any effect on the consolidated financial position or operating results of the Company.


In September 2006, the FASB issued SFAS No. 158, “Employers’ Accounting for Defined Benefit Pension and Other Postretirement Plans.”  SFAS 158 includes a requirement to measure the defined benefit plan assets and obligations as of the end of the employer’s fiscal year.  This requirement is effective for fiscal years ending after December 15, 2008.   SFAS 158 provides two approaches to measure the adjustment from a previously reported non-fiscal year-end measurement date to a fiscal year-end measurement date, both of which require the adjustment be recorded to beginning retained earnings and “accumulated other comprehensive income”, as applicable.  SFAS 158 does not change the method of calculating the net periodic cost that existed under previous guidance.   Effective January 1, 2008, the Company elected to apply the approach under which the Company’s previous November 1, 2007 measurement date was used to obtain the adjustment for the two month transition period.  As a result, on January 1, 2008, the Company recorded a $205,751 decrease to retained earnings and a $46,057 decrease to “accumulated other comprehensive income” to record the net periodic cost associated with the two month transition period.

 
In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 159, “The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities.”  SFAS 159 permits reporting entities to choose, at specified election dates, to measure eligible items at fair value (the “fair value option”).  The unrealized gains and losses on items for which the fair value option has been elected will be reported in earnings.  As it relates to the Company’s financial reporting, the Company would be permitted to elect fair value recognition of fixed maturity and equity securities currently classified as either available-for-sale or held-to-maturity, and report future unrealized gains and losses from these securities in earnings.  Electing the fair value option for an existing held-to-maturity security will not call into question the intent of an entity to hold other fixed maturity securities to maturity in the future.  The provisions of this statement are effective beginning with the first fiscal year that begins after November 15, 2007.  The Company adopted the requirements of SFAS 159 effective January 1, 2008, but did not elect the fair value option.  Therefore, adoption of this statement had no effect on the operating results of the Company.

In December 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 141 (revised 2007), “Business Combinations”.  This statement replaces SFAS No. 141, “Business Combinations”; however, it retains the fundamental requirements of SFAS No. 141 in that the acquisition method of accounting (referred to as “purchase method” in SFAS 141) be used for all business combinations.  SFAS 141 (revised) is to be applied prospectively to business combinations for which the acquisition date is on or after the beginning of the first annual reporting period beginning on or after December 15, 2008.  Adoption of this statement is not expected to have any effect on the operating results of the Company.


3.
REINSURANCE

The effect of reinsurance on premiums written and earned, and losses and settlement expenses incurred, for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 is presented below.
 
   
Three months ended
   
Nine months ended
 
   
September 30,
   
September 30,
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2008
   
2007
 
Premiums written
                       
Direct
  $ 72,381,302     $ 64,057,539     $ 176,998,691     $ 162,432,055  
Assumed from nonaffiliates
    614,112       904,235       1,857,333       2,472,897  
Assumed from affiliates
    119,547,767       117,803,076       317,474,169       321,996,815  
Ceded to nonaffiliates
    (6,841,679 )     (7,450,587 )     (18,166,361 )     (19,898,287 )
Ceded to affiliates
    (72,381,302 )     (64,057,539 )     (176,998,691 )     (162,432,055 )
Net premiums written
  $ 113,320,200     $ 111,256,724     $ 301,165,141     $ 304,571,425  
                                 
Premiums earned
                               
Direct
  $ 54,866,579     $ 52,590,391     $ 160,139,290     $ 150,153,956  
Assumed from nonaffiliates
    596,856       883,141       1,992,141       2,608,600  
Assumed from affiliates
    101,760,267       102,496,622       303,850,842       307,716,075  
Ceded to nonaffiliates
    (5,947,908 )     (6,565,097 )     (17,838,287 )     (19,504,940 )
Ceded to affiliates
    (54,866,579 )     (52,590,391 )     (160,139,290 )     (150,153,956 )
Net premiums earned
  $ 96,409,215     $ 96,814,666     $ 288,004,696     $ 290,819,735  
                                 
Losses and settlement expenses incurred
                         
Direct .
  $ 43,709,891     $ 30,267,335     $ 123,215,049     $ 76,659,766  
Assumed from nonaffiliates
    417,371       766,092       1,726,833       1,746,453  
Assumed from affiliates
    84,328,850       62,623,737       229,542,338       178,994,616  
Ceded to nonaffiliates
    (3,101,960 )     1,145,643       (9,281,225 )     (6,315,525 )
Ceded to affiliates
    (43,709,891 )     (30,267,335 )     (123,215,049 )     (76,659,766 )
Net losses and settlement expenses incurred
  $ 81,644,261     $ 64,535,472     $ 221,987,946     $ 174,425,544  

 
4.
SEGMENT INFORMATION

The Company’s operations consist of a property and casualty insurance segment and a reinsurance segment.  The property and casualty insurance segment writes both commercial and personal lines of insurance, with a focus on medium-sized commercial accounts.  The reinsurance segment provides reinsurance for other insurers and reinsurers.  The segments are managed separately due to differences in the insurance products sold and the business environments in which they operate.

Summarized financial information for the Company’s segments is as follows:
 
Three months ended September 30, 2008
 
Property and casualty insurance
   
Reinsurance
   
Parent company
   
Consolidated
 
Premiums earned
  $ 78,959,188     $ 17,450,027     $ -     $ 96,409,215  
                                 
Underwriting loss
    (11,458,365 )     (2,822,994 )     -       (14,281,359 )
Net investment income
    9,174,650       3,017,725       58,817       12,251,192  
Realized investment losses
    (9,516,502 )     (4,580,015 )     -       (14,096,517 )
Other income
    191,161       -       -       191,161  
Interest expense
    225,000       -       -       225,000  
Other expenses
    113,730       (247,243 )     362,045       228,532  
Loss before income tax benefit
  $ (11,947,786 )   $ (4,138,041 )   $ (303,228 )   $ (16,389,055 )
 
 
Three months ended September 30, 2007
 
Property and casualty insurance
   
Reinsurance
   
Parent company
   
Consolidated
 
Premiums earned
  $ 80,451,433     $ 16,363,233     $ -     $ 96,814,666  
                                 
Underwriting loss
    (1,969,708 )     (326,847 )     -       (2,296,555 )
Net investment income
    9,056,171       3,142,939       53,324       12,252,434  
Realized investment losses
    (136,583 )     (144,609 )     -       (281,192 )
Other income
    111,646       -       -       111,646  
Interest expense
    193,125       84,975       -       278,100  
Other expenses
    168,647       305,399       246,312       720,358  
Income (loss) before income tax expense (benefit)
  $ 6,699,754     $ 2,281,109     $ (192,988 )   $ 8,787,875  

 
Nine months ended September 30, 2008
 
Property and casualty insurance
   
Reinsurance
   
Parent company
   
Consolidated
 
Premiums earned
  $ 236,513,542     $ 51,491,154     $ -     $ 288,004,696  
                                 
Underwriting loss
    (23,635,883 )     (3,204,856 )     -       (26,840,739 )
Net investment income
    27,112,376       8,940,490       137,913       36,190,779  
Realized investment losses
    (11,283,993 )     (5,353,531 )     -       (16,637,524 )
Other income
    499,059       -       -       499,059  
Interest expense
    664,375       -       -       664,375  
Other expenses
    412,606       46,960       996,982       1,456,548  
Income (loss) before income tax expense (benefit)
  $ (8,385,422 )   $ 335,143     $ (859,069 )   $ (8,909,348 )
                                 
Assets
  $ 852,403,590     $ 248,741,665     $ 303,858,436     $ 1,405,003,691  
Eliminations
    -       -       (295,933,805 )     (295,933,805 )
Reclassifications
    (35,527 )     (314,498 )     (340,324 )     (690,349 )
Net assets
  $ 852,368,063     $ 248,427,167     $ 7,584,307     $ 1,108,379,537  
 
 
Nine months ended September 30, 2007
 
Property and casualty insurance
   
Reinsurance
   
Parent company
   
Consolidated
 
Premiums earned
  $ 239,458,912     $ 51,360,823     $ -     $ 290,819,735  
                                 
Underwriting profit
    9,954,676       4,874,612       -       14,829,288  
Net investment income
    26,617,782       9,090,610       186,582       35,894,974  
Realized investment gains
    1,189,693       42,406       -       1,232,099  
Other income
    382,547       -       -       382,547  
Interest expense
    579,375       254,925       -       834,300  
Other expenses
    641,873       481,199       730,338       1,853,410  
Income (loss) before income tax expense (benefit)
  $ 36,923,450     $ 13,271,504     $ (543,756 )   $ 49,651,198  
                                 
Assets
  $ 981,144,742     $ 278,148,795     $ 346,238,064     $ 1,605,531,601  
Eliminations
    -       -       (343,549,138 )     (343,549,138 )
Reclassifications
    (337 )     (910,954 )     -       (911,291 )
Net assets
  $ 981,144,405     $ 277,237,841     $ 2,688,926     $ 1,261,071,172  

 
The following table displays the net premiums earned of the property and casualty insurance segment and the reinsurance segment for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, by line of business.


   
Three months ended
   
Nine months ended
 
   
September 30,
   
September 30,
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2008
   
2007
 
Property and casualty insurance segment
                       
Commercial lines:
                       
Automobile
  $ 17,335,070     $ 17,993,974     $ 51,987,701     $ 53,685,516  
Property
    15,261,367       15,564,687       45,674,476       46,319,320  
Workers' compensation
    16,217,951       15,813,824       48,389,162       46,521,063  
Liability
    17,083,888       17,747,214       51,480,267       53,189,674  
Other
    2,306,874       2,171,959       6,685,464       6,400,980  
Total commercial lines
    68,205,150       69,291,658       204,217,070       206,116,553  
                                 
Personal lines:
                               
Automobile
    5,744,145       5,897,566       17,096,678       17,630,043  
Property
    4,855,420       5,100,273       14,732,315       15,227,709  
Liability
    154,473       161,936       467,479       484,607  
Total personal lines
    10,754,038       11,159,775       32,296,472       33,342,359  
Total property and casualty insurance
  $ 78,959,188     $ 80,451,433     $ 236,513,542     $ 239,458,912  
                                 
Reinsurance segment
                               
Pro rata reinsurance:
                               
Property and casualty
  $ 1,699,195     $ 2,491,887     $ 6,177,431     $ 7,272,207  
Property
    4,674,090       1,990,759       12,978,918       10,472,157  
Marine/Aviation
    122,541       286,499       613,654       409,273  
Casualty
    352,626       565,624       1,110,332       1,275,561  
Crop
    1,025,944       690,259       1,182,457       795,691  
Total pro rata reinsurance
    7,874,396       6,025,028       22,062,792       20,224,889  
                                 
Excess-of-loss reinsurance:
                               
Property
    7,138,010       7,564,369       20,967,813       22,502,736  
Casualty
    2,437,621       2,773,874       8,460,908       8,638,262  
Surety
    -       (38 )     (359 )     (5,064 )
Total excess-of-loss reinsurance
    9,575,631       10,338,205       29,428,362       31,135,934  
Total reinsurance
  $ 17,450,027     $ 16,363,233     $ 51,491,154     $ 51,360,823  
                                 
Consolidated
  $ 96,409,215     $ 96,814,666     $ 288,004,696     $ 290,819,735  


5.
INCOME TAXES

The actual income tax expense (benefit) for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 differed from the “expected” income tax expense (benefit) for those periods (computed by applying the United States federal corporate tax rate of 35 percent to income (loss) before income tax expense) primarily due to tax-exempt interest income.

The Company had no provision for uncertain tax positions at September 30, 2008 or December 31, 2007.  During the third quarter of 2007, the Company recognized a $34,736 underpayment penalty related to its December 31, 2006 U.S. federal tax return.  The Company did not recognize any interest or other penalties related to U.S. federal or state income taxes during the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 or 2007.  It is the Company’s accounting policy to reflect income tax penalties as other expense, and interest as interest expense.

 
The Company files U.S. federal tax returns, along with various state income tax returns.  The Company is no longer subject to U.S. federal and state income tax examinations by tax authorities for years before 2005.

The Company’s deferred tax asset increased substantially from December 31, 2007 to September 30, 2008 primarily due to a decrease in unrealized gains.  The Company’s projections indicate that there will be sufficient taxable income in future years to fully realize the deferred tax asset.


6.
EMPLOYEE RETIREMENT PLANS

The components of net periodic benefit cost for Employers Mutual’s pension and postretirement benefit plans is as follows:

   
Three months ended
   
Nine months ended
 
   
September 30,
   
September 30,
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2008
   
2007
 
Pension plans:
                       
Service cost
  $ 2,180,977     $ 2,129,861     $ 6,542,931     $ 6,389,583  
Interest cost
    2,350,250       2,164,662       7,050,750       6,493,986  
Expected return on plan assets
    (3,545,228 )     (3,224,223 )     (10,635,684 )     (9,672,669 )
Amortization of net actuarial loss
    46,905       47,591       140,715       142,773  
Amortization of prior service costs
    113,640       109,932       340,920       329,796  
Net periodic pension benefit cost
  $ 1,146,544     $ 1,227,823     $ 3,439,632     $ 3,683,469  
                                 
                                 
   
Three months ended
   
Nine months ended
 
   
September 30,
   
September 30,
 
   
2008
   
2007
   
2008
   
2007
 
Postretirement benefit plans:
                               
Service cost
  $ 709,538     $ 1,207,216     $ 2,128,616     $ 3,621,648  
Interest cost
    1,000,177       1,249,105       3,000,530       3,747,315  
Expected return on plan assets
    (507,327 )     (480,932 )     (1,521,981 )     (1,442,796 )
Amortization of prior service credit
    (532,814 )     -       (1,598,442 )     -  
Net periodic postretirement benefit cost
  $ 669,574     $ 1,975,389     $ 2,008,723     $ 5,926,167  


The large decrease in net periodic postretirement benefit cost for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 is due to a plan amendment that became effective on January 1, 2008.  This plan amendment increased the minimum retirement age and length of service requirement to receive the full employer contribution amount in the postretirement health care benefit plan.

Net periodic pension benefit cost allocated to the Company amounted to $353,336 and $378,535 for the three months and $1,060,013 and $1,135,605 for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively.  Net periodic postretirement benefit cost allocated to the Company amounted to $188,076 and $566,835 for the three months and $564,232 and $1,700,511 for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively.

During 2008, Employers Mutual plans to contribute approximately $2,700,000 to the VEBA trust and, depending on the performance of the equity markets during the fourth quarter, approximately $30,000,000 to the pension plan.  As of September 30, 2008, Employers Mutual has not made a contribution to the pension plan and has contributed $1,200,000 to the postretirement benefit plan’s VEBA trust.


14

 
7.
STOCK-BASED COMPENSATION

The Company has no stock-based compensation plans of its own; however, Employers Mutual has several stock plans which utilize the common stock of the Company.  Employers Mutual can provide the common stock required under its plans by: 1) using shares of common stock that it currently owns; 2) purchasing common stock on the open market; or 3) directly purchasing common stock from the Company at the current fair value.  Employers Mutual has historically purchased common stock from the Company for use in its incentive stock option plans and its non-employee director stock option plan.
 
Employers Mutual maintains two separate incentive stock option plans for the benefit of officers and key employees of Employers Mutual and its subsidiaries.  A total of 1,000,000 shares of the Company’s common stock have been reserved for issuance under the 1993 Employers Mutual Casualty Company Incentive Stock Option Plan (1993 Plan), and a total of 1,500,000 shares have been reserved for issuance under the 2003 Employers Mutual Casualty Company Incentive Stock Option Plan (2003 Plan).

Both plans have a ten year time limit for granting options.  Options can no longer be granted under the 1993 Plan and no additional options will be granted under the 2003 Plan as Employers Mutual recently implemented a new stock incentive plan.  Options granted under the 1993 Plan and 2003 Plan have a vesting period of two, three, four or five years with options becoming exercisable in equal annual cumulative increments.  Option prices cannot be less than the fair value of the common stock on the date of grant.

On June 1, 2007, the Company registered 2,000,000 shares of the Company’s common stock for use in the 2007 Employers Mutual Casualty Company Stock Incentive Plan (2007 Plan).  The 2007 Plan provides for the awarding of performance shares, performance units, and other stock-based awards, in addition to qualified (incentive) and non-qualified stock options, stock appreciation rights, restricted stock and restricted stock units.  The 2007 Plan provides for a ten-year time limit for granting awards.  Officers, key employees and non-employee directors of Employers Mutual and its subsidiaries and affiliates, as well as certain agents, may participate in the plan.

The Senior Executive Compensation and Stock Option Committee (the “Committee”) of Employers Mutual’s Board of Directors (the “Board”) grants the awards and is the administrator of the plans.  The Company’s Compensation Committee must consider and approve all awards granted to the Company’s senior executive officers.

The Company recognized compensation expense of $50,027 ($48,957 net of tax) and $46,243 (gross and net of tax) for the three months and $182,292 ($177,669 net of tax) and $154,698 (gross and net of tax) for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively, related to the 2003 and 2007 Plans.  During the first nine months of 2008, 221,875 options were granted under the 2007 Plan to eligible participants at a price of $23.467, and 87,815 options were exercised under the plans at prices ranging from $9.25 to $25.455.  The Company recognized  compensation expense of $27,090 ($17,609 net of tax) and $6,997 ($4,548 net of tax) during the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively, related to a stock appreciation rights agreement that is being accounted for as a liability-classified award.  Compensation expense of $27,090 ($17,609 net of tax) was recognized for this agreement during the nine months ended September 30, 2008, and negative compensation expense of $89,550 ($58,208 net of tax) was recognized during the nine months ended September 30, 2007.

The weighted average fair value of options granted during the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 amounted to $2.77 and $3.78, respectively.  The fair value of each option grant was estimated on the date of grant using the Black-Scholes-Merton option-pricing model and the following assumptions:

   
2008
   
2007
 
Dividend yield
    3.07 %     2.67 %
Expected volatility
    21.0% - 30.1 %     22.2% - 31.4 %
Weighted-average volatility
    26.09 %     25.66 %
Risk-free interest rate
    1.45% - 3.17 %     4.32% - 5.01 %
Expected term (years)
    0.25 - 6.25       0.25 - 6.25  

 
The expected term of the options granted in 2008 was estimated using historical data that was adjusted to remove the effect of option exercises prior to the normal vesting period due to the retirement of the option holder.  The expected term of options granted to individuals who are, or will be, eligible to retire prior to the completion of the normal vesting period has been adjusted to reflect the potential accelerated vesting period.  This produced a weighted-average expected term of 2.79 years.

The expected volatility in the price of the underlying shares for the 2008 option grant was computed by using the historical average high and low monthly prices of the Company’s common stock for a period covering 6.25 years, which approximates the average term of the options, and produced an expected volatility of 23.2 percent.  The expected volatility of options granted to individuals who are, or will be, eligible to retire prior to the completion of the normal vesting period was computed by using the historical average high and low daily, weekly, or monthly prices for the period approximating the expected term of those options.  This produced expected volatility ranging from 21.0 percent to 30.1 percent.


8. 
FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENTS

As previously discussed, the Company adopted SFAS 157 on January 1, 2008.  SFAS 157 applies to all assets and liabilities that are measured and reported on a fair value basis.  Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date.  SFAS 157 also establishes the following fair value hierarchy that prioritizes the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value:
 
Level 1 -
Unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities in active markets that the Company has the ability to access.
 
Level 2 -
Quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities in active markets; quoted prices for identical or similar assets or liabilities in inactive markets; or valuations based on models where the significant inputs are observable (e.g., interest rates, yield curves, prepayment speeds, default rates, loss severities, etc.) or can be corroborated by observable market data.
 
Level 3 -
Prices or valuation techniques that require significant unobservable inputs.  The unobservable inputs may reflect the Company’s own assumptions about the assumptions that market participants would use.

The Company uses an independent pricing source to obtain the estimated fair value of a majority of its securities.  The fair value is based on quoted market prices, where available.  This is typically the case for equity securities and short-term investments, which are accordingly classified as Level 1 fair value measurements.  In cases where quoted market prices are not available, fair value is based on a variety of valuation techniques depending on the type of security.  Many of the fixed maturity securities in the Company’s portfolio do not trade on a daily basis; however, observable inputs are utilized in their valuations, and these securities are therefore classified as Level 2 fair value measurements.  Following is a brief description of the various pricing techniques used by the independent pricing service for different asset classes.

 
·
U.S. Treasury securities (including bonds, notes, and bills) are priced according to a number of live data sources, including active market makers and inter-dealer brokers.  The pricing service reviews the prices from these sources based on the sources’ historical accuracy for individual issues and maturity ranges.
 
·
U.S. government-sponsored agencies and corporate securities (including fixed-rate corporate bonds, medium-term notes, and retail notes) are priced by determining a bullet (non-call) spread scale for each issuer for maturities going out to forty years.  These spreads represent credit risk and are obtained from the new issue market, secondary trading, and dealer quotes.  An option adjusted spread model is incorporated to adjust spreads of issues that have early redemption features.  The final spread is then added to the U.S. Treasury curve.  For notes with odd coupon payment dates, a cash discounting yield/price routine calculates prices from final yields.
 
·
Obligations of states and political subdivisions are priced by tracking and analyzing actively quoted issues and trades reported by the Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board (MSRB).  Municipal bonds with similar characteristics are grouped together into market sectors, and internal yield curves are constructed daily for these sectors.  Individual bond evaluations are extrapolated from these sectors, with the ability to make individual spread adjustments for attributes such as discounts, premiums, alternative minimum tax, and/or whether or not the bond is callable.
 
 
16

 
 
·
Mortgage-backed securities are priced with models using spreads and other information solicited from Wall Street buy- and sell-side sources, including primary and secondary dealers, portfolio managers, and research analysts, to produce pricing for each tranche.  To determine a tranche’s price, first the cash flow for each tranche is generated (using consensus prepayment speed assumptions including, as appropriate, a proprietary prepayment projection based on historical statistics of the underlying collateral), then a benchmark yield is determined (in relation to the U.S. Treasury curve for the maturity corresponding to the tranche’s average life estimate), and finally collateral performance and tranche level attributes are incorporated to adjust the benchmark yield to determine the tranche-specific spread.  This is then used to discount the cash flows to generate the price.  When cash flows or other security structure or market information is not available to appropriately price a security, broker quotes may be used with a zero spread bid-side valuation, resulting in the same values for the mean and ask prices.

On a quarterly basis, the Company receives from its independent pricing service a list of fixed maturity securities that were priced solely from broker quotes.  Since this is not an observable input, any fixed maturity security in the Company’s portfolio that is on this list is classified as a Level 3 fair value measurement.  At January 1, 2008, one of the Company’s fixed maturity securities (Continental Airlines) was on this list and was reported at the fair value provided by the independent pricing service ($696,561).  This security was subsequently priced by the independent pricing service using observable inputs (as described above), and was transferred from the Level 3 fair value measurement category to the Level 2 fair value measurement category on March 31, 2008.

A small number of the Company’s securities are not priced by the independent pricing service.  Two of the Company’s equity securities are reported at the fair value obtained from the Securities Valuation Office (SVO) of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC).  These securities are reported as Level 3 fair value measurements since the SVO is not able to use reliable observable inputs in its valuations.  The SVO establishes a per share price for Insurance Services Office Inc. (ISO) Class B shares by averaging Class B trades during the past year and reviewing the quarterly valuations produced by a nationally recognized independent firm for the Class A shares (Class B shares typically trade at approximately 60 percent of the fair value of the Class A shares).  This valuation is typically performed twice a year, and resulted in a fair value for the Class B shares held by the Company of $10,847,435 at September 30, 2008 and $10,180,245 at December 31, 2007.  The SVO establishes a per share price for the other equity security based on an annual review of that company’s financial statements.  This review is typically performed during the second quarter, and resulted in a fair value for the shares held by the Company of $3,641 at September 30, 2008 and $6,719 at December 31, 2007.

The remaining three securities not priced by the Company’s independent pricing service are fixed maturity securities.  One of the fixed maturity securities is classified as a Level 3 fair value measurement and is carried at its amortized cost of $12,181 ($46,795 at December 31, 2007).  The other two fixed maturity securities are classified as Level 2 fair value measurements and are carried at aggregate fair values of $7,628,678 at September 30, 2008 and $8,610,855 at December 31, 2007.  The fair values for these two fixed maturity securities were obtained from the Company’s investment custodian using an independent pricing service which utilizes similar pricing techniques as the Company’s independent pricing service.

The estimated fair values obtained from the independent pricing sources are reviewed by the Company for reasonableness and any discrepancies are investigated for final valuation.  For fixed maturity securities, this includes comparing valuations from the independent pricing source, the Company’s investment custodian, the SVO, and an analytical service for fixed maturity securities.  For equity securities, a similar comparison is done between the valuations from the independent pricing service, the Company’s investment custodian, and the SVO.  From these comparisons, material variances are reviewed further to determine final valuation used in the financial statements.

The Company’s fixed maturity securities and equity securities available-for-sale and short-term investments are measured at fair value on a recurring basis.  No assets or liabilities are currently measured at fair value on a non-recurring basis.  Presented in the table below are the Company’s assets that are measured at fair value on a recurring basis, as of September 30, 2008.

17

 
   
Fair value measurements at September 30, 2008 using
 
         
Quoted prices in active markets for identical assets
   
Significant other observable inputs
   
Significant unobservable inputs
 
Description
 
Total
   
(Level 1)
   
(Level 2)
   
(Level 3)
 
                         
Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale
  $ 786,553,572     $ -     $ 786,541,391     $ 12,181  
Equity securities available-for-sale
    105,931,049       95,079,973       -       10,851,076  
Short-term investments
    63,600,655       63,600,655       -       -  
    $ 956,085,276     $ 158,680,628     $ 786,541,391     $ 10,863,257  
 
 
Presented in the table below is a reconciliation of the assets measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008.  Any unrealized gains or losses on these securities would be recognized in other comprehensive income.  Any gains or losses from disposals or impairments of these securities would be reported as realized investment gains or losses in the net income.

   
Fair value measurements using significant
 
   
unobservable inputs (Level 3)
 
Three months ended September 30, 2008
 
Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale
   
Equity securities available-for-sale
   
Total
 
                   
Balance at July 1, 2008
  $ 24,052     $ 10,851,076     $ 10,875,128  
                         
Purchases, issuances and settlements
    (11,871 )     -       (11,871 )
Balance at September 30, 2008
  $ 12,181     $ 10,851,076     $ 10,863,257  
                         
                         
   
Fair value measurements using significant
 
   
unobservable inputs (Level 3)
 
Nine months ended September 30, 2008
 
Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale
   
Equity securities available-for-sale
   
Total
 
                          
Balance at January 1, 2008
  $ 743,356     $ 10,186,964     $ 10,930,320  
                         
Total unrealized gains included in other comprehensive loss
    -       664,112       664,112  
Purchases, issuances and settlements
    (34,614 )     -       (34,614 )
Transfers out of Level 3
    (696,561 )     -       (696,561 )
Balance at September 30, 2008
  $ 12,181     $ 10,851,076     $ 10,863,257  

 
9.
CONTINGENT LIABILITIES

The Company and Employers Mutual and its other subsidiaries are parties to numerous lawsuits arising in the normal course of the insurance business.  The Company believes that the resolution of these lawsuits will not have a material adverse effect on its financial condition or its results of operations.  The companies involved have established reserves which are believed adequate to cover any potential liabilities arising out of all such pending or threatened proceedings.

The participants in the pooling agreement have purchased annuities from life insurance companies, under which the claimant is payee, to fund future payments that are fixed pursuant to specific claim settlement provisions.  The Company’s share of loss reserves eliminated by the purchase of these annuities was $2,024,184 at December 31, 2007.  The Company’s contingent liability was $2,024,184 at December 31, 2007 should the issuers of these annuities fail to perform under the terms of the annuity.  The life insurance companies provide annuity statements on an annual basis; therefore the contingent liability for interim periods cannot be estimated.  The change in the contingent liability during the interim periods is not expected to change materially.  The probability of a material loss due to failure of performance by the issuers of these annuities is considered remote.  The Company’s share of the amount due from any one life insurance company does not equal or exceed one percent of its subsidiaries’ aggregate policyholders’ surplus.

 
10.
STOCK REPURCHASE PROGRAM

On March 10, 2008, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized a $15,000,000 stock repurchase program. This program became effective immediately and does not have an expiration date.  The timing and terms of the purchases are determined by management based on market conditions and are conducted in accordance with the applicable rules of the Securities and Exchange Commission.  Common stock purchased under this program is being retired by the Company.  As of September 30, 2008, 475,458 shares of common stock had been repurchased at a cost of $12,272,002.  On October 31, 2008, the Company’s Board of Directors announced an extension of the stock repurchase program, authorizing an additional $10,000,000.

19



EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

(Unaudited)

The following discussion and analysis of EMC Insurance Group Inc. and Subsidiaries’ financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with the Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included under Item 1 of this Form 10-Q, and the Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations section of the Company’s 2007 Form 10-K.


COMPANY OVERVIEW
 
EMC Insurance Group Inc., a 58.8 percent owned subsidiary of Employers Mutual Casualty Company (Employers Mutual), is an insurance holding company with operations in property and casualty insurance and reinsurance.  Property and casualty insurance is the most significant segment, representing 82.1 percent of consolidated premiums earned during the first nine months of 2008.  For purposes of this discussion, the term “Company” is used interchangeably to describe EMC Insurance Group Inc. (Parent Company only) and EMC Insurance Group Inc. and its subsidiaries.  Employers Mutual and all of its subsidiaries (including the Company) and an affiliate are referred to as the “EMC Insurance Companies.”

In the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal recurring adjustments) considered necessary for a fair presentation of the interim financial statements have been included.  The results of operations for the interim periods reported are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for the year.


MANAGEMENT ISSUES AND PERSPECTIVES

During the first nine months of 2008 management continued to focus its efforts on writing profitable business in the increasingly competitive insurance marketplace, and maintaining adequate and consistent loss and settlement expense reserves.  Management was also confronted with a record amount of catastrophe and storm losses during the second and third quarters, and spent a considerable amount of time and effort ensuring that all claims were inspected and adjusted in a timely manner.  Management also evaluated and implemented a new investment strategy designed to take advantage of the liquidity-induced market dislocation that currently exists in the securitized residential mortgage marketplace.  In addition, management decided that the Company’s reinsurance subsidiary will begin writing Germany-based assumed reinsurance business on a direct basis (outside of the quota share agreement with Employers Mutual) effective January 1, 2009 as a result of regulatory changes that will make it unattractive for Employers Mutual to write that business beginning in 2009.  Following is a more detailed discussion of these issues.
 
Competitive insurance marketplace

Net premiums written for the EMC Insurance Companies’ pool have remained nearly unchanged in recent years due to the increasingly competitive insurance marketplace and increased reinsurance costs.  All lines of business have experienced a decline in premium rate levels of varying magnitude over the past three years.  During this period, policy retention has remained at a high level, but policy count has remained flat as a result of the increased competition for desirable business and management initiatives to exit unprofitable business.   The increase in premium rate competition is being driven by the profitable underwriting results, and resulting high capitalization level, of the property and casualty insurance industry during the past three years.  On an overall basis, premium rate levels declined approximately 3.7 percent in 2006 and 4.9 percent in 2007, and are expected to decline an additional 5.4 percent in 2008.  Given this competitive pricing environment, management is targeting a modest level of premium growth through new business writings that are carefully selected and adequately priced, and from continuing efforts to maintain, or improve, policy retention.

20

 
In response to this competitive environment, management has over the past three years formulated and implemented strategies to generate profitable business, and is now closely monitoring and adjusting those strategies as necessary.  The areas of focus have included establishing business plans with the Company’s independent insurance agents to increase new business production; improving the ease of conducting business through technological improvements; expanding on the pool participants’ three programs for writing homogenous risks: target markets, “EMC Choice” programs and safety dividend programs; implementing a more formalized process for commercial lines product development; and improving sales effectiveness skills through ongoing training.

Central to management’s business plan to increase new business production is a focus on the Company’s only distribution channel, the independent insurance agent.  Management spent a considerable amount of time during the first nine months of 2008 working closely with local branch underwriting and marketing personnel and their independent insurance agents to identify new business desirable to the Company.  Supporting this focus on new business opportunities are sophisticated underwriting tools (including tools with predictive modeling and monitoring capabilities) that help determine whether individually submitted applications, as well as renewal business, are acceptable, and the appropriate price for each individual risk.  These underwriting tools produce information in real time to underwriters as they consider a new risk, or renew an existing risk.  Management is also implementing data mining software that is capable of producing easily accessible, highly insightful summary information that can be quickly constructed from the vast amounts of data contained in Employers Mutual’s claims system.  Such information can be used to alert management of conditions that have affected the pool participants’ underwriting results.  Once alerted, management can adjust underwriting practices and/or pricing in an effort to address and mitigate any developing adverse trends.

Maintaining adequate and consistent loss and settlement expense reserves

Over the past several years management has devoted a substantial amount of time and resources to improving the adequacy and consistency of the Company’s case loss reserves by implementing procedures and guidelines that assist claims personnel in establishing and maintaining proper reserve amounts.  Because of these improvements in the claims handling process, favorable development on prior years’ case loss reserves was not unexpected during calendar years 2006 and 2007; however, the magnitude of the favorable development experienced during these periods was not anticipated.

From management’s perspective, investors and potential investors should not place undue emphasis on the composition of the Company’s underwriting results (i.e. the breakdown between the amount of favorable development reported on prior years’ reserves versus the indicated current accident year results) because, as explained below, the Company’s reserving methodology does not lend itself to that type of analysis very well.  Management believes that it is important for investors and potential investors to have an appropriate understanding of the Company’s reserving methodology so that they are able to properly interpret the Company’s results of operations and make informed investment decisions.  Following is a brief discussion of the Company’s reserving methodology.

Management does not use accident year loss picks to establish the Company’s carried reserves.  Case loss and IBNR reserves, as well as settlement expense reserves, are established independently of each other and added together to get the Company’s total loss and settlement expense reserve estimate.

As part of the ongoing effort to enhance the effectiveness of the Company’s reserving process, the methodology was expanded during 2007 to include bulk case loss reserves.  These bulk reserves supplement the aggregate reserves of the individual claim files and are used to help maintain a consistent level of overall case loss reserve adequacy.  Bulk case loss reserves (both positive and negative) are established when necessary to keep the estimated adequacy of the Company’s carried case loss reserves at a level consistent with management’s best estimate of the Company’s overall liability.  For financial reporting purposes, bulk case loss reserves are included in case loss reserves.

 
Case loss reserves are the individual reserves established for each reported claim based on the specific facts associated with each claim.  Individual case loss reserves are based on the probable, or most likely, outcome for each claim, with probable outcome defined as what is most likely to be awarded if the case were to be decided by a civil court in the applicable venue or, in the case of a workers’ compensation case, by that state’s Worker’s Compensation Commission.  Bulk case loss reserves are actuarially derived and are allocated to the various accident years on the basis of the underlying aggregate case loss reserves of the applicable lines of business.  IBNR and settlement expense reserves are established through an actuarial process for each line of business.  The IBNR and certain settlement expense reserves are allocated to the various accident years using historical claim emergence and settlement payment patterns; other settlement expense reserves are allocated to the various accident years on the basis of case loss reserves.

The current and more recent accident years have a larger proportion of case, IBNR and settlement expense reserves than earlier accident years.  Since the Company’s reserve levels are established somewhat conservatively, the relatively high proportion of reserves in the more recent accident years generates relatively high loss and settlement expense ratios in the early stages of an accident year’s development; however, as those accident years mature, claims are gradually settled, the reserves for those years become smaller, and the loss and settlement expense ratios generally decline.

Without a proper understanding of the Company’s reserving methodology, the current and more recent accident year combined ratios can be misinterpreted.  For example, the Company reported a combined ratio of 109.3 percent for the first nine months of 2008.  If the large amount of favorable development experienced on prior years’ reserves during this period is added back to the losses and settlement expenses incurred, it would appear that the 2008 accident year generated a combined ratio of 119.8 percent.  However, as has been the case for other recent accident years, management believes that the 2008 accident year combined ratio will continue to decline as claims are settled, and will ultimately settle in a range between 109 and 114 percent.

It is management’s intention to continue to apply this reserving methodology on a consistent basis. With reasonably consistent levels of reserve adequacy, management expects earnings from downward development of prior accident year reserves to continue in future years.  For that reason, management believes that less emphasis should be placed on the composition of the Company’s underwriting results between the current and prior accident years, and more emphasis should be placed on where the Company’s carried reserves fall within the range of actuarial indications.

As of June 30, 2008, the Company’s loss and settlement expense reserves were in the upper quarter of the range of actuarial indications.  Although the actuarial analysis as of June 30, 2008 indicates that the Company’s loss and settlement expense reserves are at a high level of adequacy, management is not able to predict whether, or to what extent, the Company will continue to experience favorable development on its reserves.

Record catastrophe and storm losses

During the first nine months of 2008 the Company experienced a record $49.1 million of catastrophe and storm losses, including $23.5 million and $19.8 million during the second and third quarters, respectively.  This record level of catastrophe and storm losses is attributed to several severe storm systems that produced wind, tornado and hail losses over a wide geographic region of the Midwest, including a devastating EF5 tornado that struck Parkersburg, Iowa during the second quarter  and destroyed the high school and many homes, as well as Hurricanes Ike and Gustav during the third quarter.  Catastrophe and storm losses added 20.6 and 17.0 percentage points to the Company’s combined ratios for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008, compared to 7.5 and 6.7 points for the same periods in 2007.  Assuming normal storm activity for the remainder of the year, management is currently projecting that catastrophe and storm losses will approximate 14.2 percent of earned premiums in 2008, compared to an expected ratio of 6.9 percent of earned premiums.

Absent the excessive level of storm losses, management believes that the Company’s underlying book of business continued to perform reasonably well and within expectations during the first nine months of 2008, considering the competitive market conditions.  The record level of storm losses that occurred during the first nine months of 2008 was not caused by a concentration of exposures, but rather the number of severe storms and wide geographical region affected by those storms.

 
Management recognizes that policyholders are counting on the Company to help them get their lives back in order after a storm loss occurs, and takes that responsibility very seriously.  As of June 30, all second quarter storm claims had been adjusted and over ninety percent of the claims had been paid, many within days of the loss event.  The response to the third quarter storm claims was similar.  The Company’s various branch locations, aided by the Company’s proprietary claims software system, were able to share claim adjusting resources to quickly settle the large number of claims resulting from these storms and minimize the cost of external resources.

Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Investment Strategy

During the second quarter, management evaluated and implemented a new investment strategy targeting high-quality residential mortgage-backed securities.  This investment strategy is being administered by Harris Investment Management, Inc. and is designed to take advantage of the liquidity-induced market dislocation that currently exists in the securitized residential mortgage marketplace.  This is a self-liquidating investment strategy that is targeting AAA rated residential mortgage-backed securities (no securities backed by subprime mortgages are being purchased).  The investments have been prudently diversified with respect to key risk factors (such as vintage, originator and geography), have an average duration of 5 to 7 years, and have projected yields of approximately 7 to 8 percent.  The Company has committed a total of $40.0 million to this investment strategy, of which $28.9 million had been invested as of September 30, 2008.

Direct Writing of Germany-based Assumed Reinsurance Business

As a result of regulatory changes in Germany, Employers Mutual will no longer be an approved reinsurer in Germany beginning January 1, 2009.  Rather than risk losing approximately $6.0 million of assumed reinsurance business because of this regulatory change, management determined that the Company’s reinsurance subsidiary will begin writing this business on a direct basis (outside the quota share agreement) effective January 1, 2009.  Since this business will be written outside the quota share agreement, it will not be subject to the $2.0 million cap on losses per event.  Management has determined that this business has a low risk of generating losses above $2.0 million per event and has therefore elected to not purchase stand-alone reinsurance coverage for these risks.


CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES

The accounting policies considered by management to be critically important in the preparation and understanding of the Company’s financial statements and related disclosures are presented in the Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations section of the Company’s 2007 Form 10-K.

 
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Segment information and consolidated net income for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 are as follows:

   
Three months ended
   
Nine months ended
 
   
September 30,
   
September 30,
 
($ in thousands)
 
2008
   
2007
   
2008
   
2007
 
Property and Casualty Insurance
                       
Premiums earned
  $ 78,960     $ 80,452     $ 236,514     $ 239,459  
Losses and settlement expenses
    65,503       52,200       179,681       139,933  
Acquisition and other expenses
    24,915       30,222       80,469       89,572  
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $ (11,458 )   $ (1,970 )   $ (23,636 )   $ 9,954  
                                 
Loss and settlement expense ratio
    83.0 %     64.9 %     76.0 %     58.4 %
Acquisition expense ratio
    31.5 %     37.5 %     34.0 %     37.4 %
Combined ratio
    114.5 %     102.4 %     110.0 %     95.8 %
                                 
Losses and settlement expenses:
                               
Insured events of current year
  $ 65,274     $ 58,507     $ 199,161     $ 171,750  
Increase (decrease) in provision for insured events of prior years
    229       (6,307 )     (19,480 )     (31,817 )
Total losses and settlement expenses
  $ 65,503     $ 52,200     $ 179,681     $ 139,933  
                                 
Catastrophe and storm losses ..
  $ 14,998     $ 6,635     $ 42,614     $ 18,487  
                                 
                                 
   
Three months ended
   
Nine months ended
 
   
September 30,
   
September 30,
 
($ in thousands)
 
2008
   
2007
   
2008
   
2007
 
Reinsurance
                               
Premiums earned
  $ 17,450     $ 16,363     $ 51,491     $ 51,361  
Losses and settlement expenses
    16,141       12,336       42,307       34,493  
Acquisition and other expenses
    4,131       4,354       12,388       11,993  
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $ (2,822 )   $ (327 )   $ (3,204 )   $ 4,875  
                                 
Loss and settlement expense ratio
    92.5 %     75.4 %     82.2 %     67.2 %
Acquisition expense ratio
    23.7 %     26.6 %     24.0 %     23.3 %
Combined ratio
    116.2 %     102.0 %     106.2 %     90.5 %
                                 
Losses and settlement expenses:
                               
Insured events of current year
  $ 20,609     $ 13,532     $ 53,008     $ 41,680  
Decrease in provision for insured events of prior years
    (4,468 )     (1,196 )     (10,701 )     (7,187 )
Total losses and settlement expenses
  $ 16,141     $ 12,336     $ 42,307     $ 34,493  
                                 
Catastrophe and storm losses
  $ 4,825     $ 578     $ 6,457     $ 987  

 
   
Three months ended
   
Nine months ended
 
   
September 30,
   
September 30,
 
($ in thousands)
 
2008
   
2007
   
2008
   
2007
 
Consolidated
                       
REVENUES
                       
Premiums earned
  $ 96,410     $ 96,815     $ 288,005     $ 290,820  
Net investment income
    12,251       12,252       36,191       35,895  
Realized investment gains (losses)
    (14,097 )     (281 )     (16,638 )     1,232  
Other income
    191       111       499       382  
      94,755       108,897       308,057       328,329  
LOSSES AND EXPENSES
                               
Losses and settlement expenses
    81,644       64,536       221,988       174,426  
Acquisition and other expenses
    29,046       34,576       92,857       101,565  
Interest expense
    225       278       664       834  
Other expense
    229       720       1,457       1,853  
      111,144       100,110       316,966       278,678  
                                 
Income (loss) before income tax
                               
expense (benefit)
    (16,389 )     8,787       (8,909 )     49,651  
Income tax expense (benefit)
    (6,931 )     2,059       (6,730 )     14,231  
Net income (loss)
  $ (9,458 )   $ 6,728     $ (2,179 )   $ 35,420  
                                 
Net income (loss) per share
  $ (0.70 )   $ 0.49     $ (0.16 )   $ 2.57  
                                 
Loss and settlement expense ratio
    84.7 %     66.7 %     77.1 %     60.0 %
Acquisition expense ratio
    30.1 %     35.7 %     32.2 %     34.9 %
Combined ratio
    114.8 %     102.4 %     109.3 %     94.9 %
                                 
Losses and settlement expenses:
                               
Insured events of current year
  $ 85,883     $ 72,039     $ 252,169     $ 213,430  
Decrease in provision for insured events of prior years
    (4,239 )     (7,503 )     (30,181 )     (39,004 )
Total losses and settlement expenses
  $ 81,644     $ 64,536     $ 221,988     $ 174,426  
                                 
Catastrophe and storm losses
  $ 19,823     $ 7,213     $ 49,071     $ 19,474  
 
 
The Company reported a net loss of $9,458,000 ($0.70 per share) for the three months ended September 30, 2008 compared to net income of $6,728,000 ($0.49 per share) for the same period in 2007.  For the nine months ended September 30, 2008, the Company had a net loss of $2,179,000 ($0.16 per share) compared to net income of $35,420,000 ($2.57 per share) for the same period in 2007.  These declines are attributed to a record amount of catastrophe and storm losses experienced during the second and third quarters of 2008, a large amount of investment losses recognized during the third quarter of 2008, an expected decline in the amount of favorable development experienced on prior years’ reserves, and a moderate, but steady, decline in overall premium rate levels.  Included in the realized investment losses for 2008 are $17,075,000 and $21,672,000, respectively, of “other-than-temporary” investment impairment losses recognized in the Company’s equity portfolio during the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008.  These investment impairment losses include $14,904,000 recognized on the perpetual preferred stocks of Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac) and Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) during the third quarter as a result of the U.S. government placing these companies under conservatorship.

25

 
Premiums Earned

Premiums earned decreased 0.4 percent and 1.0 percent to $96,410,000 and $288,005,000 for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 from $96,815,000 and $290,820,000 for the same periods in 2007.  These decreases are primarily attributed to the moderate, but steady, decline in overall premium rate levels that have occurred during the past three years as a result of competitive market conditions associated with the current soft market.  Management expects the current competitive pricing environment to continue through the remainder of the year; however, pricing in 2009 is expected to stabilize somewhat due to the fact that total capital within the industry has declined as a result of the recent turmoil in the equity markets and the high level of catastrophe losses experienced in 2008.  It should be noted that the rate decreases implemented during 2008 will have a negative impact on earned premiums in 2009 as those premiums become earned.

Premiums earned for the property and casualty insurance segment decreased 1.9 percent and 1.2 percent to $78,960,000 and $236,514,000 for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 from $80,452,000 and $239,459,000 for the same periods in 2007.  Underlying these small decreases in premium income is a continued decline in overall premium rate levels, as total policy count increased slightly in both the commercial and personal lines of business.  New business policy counts are up for the first nine months of 2008 as compared to 2007; however, while personal lines new business premium increased 12.1 percent, commercial lines new business premium declined 6.5 percent.  The decline in commercial lines new business premium is attributed to a combination of declining rates (rate declines are larger in commercial lines of business) and reduced exposures on new business (with a corresponding reduction in premium).  The growth in personal lines new business premium is occurring in selected territories which management has identified as having greater profit potential.  Retention rates remain above industry standards, with commercial lines and personal auto declining slightly to 86.5 percent and 87.1 percent, respectively, while personal property retention rates increased slightly to 86.6 percent.  During the first nine months of 2008, new business premium was not sufficient to offset the premium lost from declining rate levels and business not retained, resulting in a 1.4 percent decline in written premiums.

Premiums earned for the reinsurance segment increased 6.6 percent and 0.3 percent to $17,450,000 and $51,491,000 for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 from $16,363,000 and $51,361,000 for the same periods in 2007.  These increases are primarily associated with an  increase in the estimate of earned but not reported (EBNR) premiums and accrued reinstatement premiums in the HORAD book of business, but also reflect the early reporting of some crop insurance premium that is normally not reported until the fourth quarter.  These increases were largely offset, particularly for the nine months results, by a decline in the business assumed from the Mutual Reinsurance Bureau (MRB) pool.  Both MRB and the HORAD books of business have suffered from the loss of a few accounts, increased retentions by some of the ceding companies and lower premium rates caused by increased rate competition.  This was evident during the January and July renewal seasons as the reinsurance segment experienced an overall decline in the average rate on-line for its accounts.  There was some additional minor deterioration in rates during the July renewal period, but increased terms on those accounts with recent loss experience kept overall rate adequacy at a fairly consistent level with that achieved on the January renewals.  Management expects reinsurance pricing to stabilize during the last quarter of 2008 and into 2009 due to the decline in industry capital noted above.  Based on recent projections, premium income for calendar year 2008 is expected to decline slightly from  the amount reported in 2007.


Losses and settlement expenses

Losses and settlement expenses increased 26.5 percent and 27.3 percent to $81,644,000 and $221,988,000 for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 from $64,536,000 and $174,426,000 for the same periods in 2007.  The loss and settlement expense ratios increased to 84.7 percent and 77.1 percent for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 from 66.7 percent and 60.0 percent for the same periods in 2007.  The increase in the loss and settlement expense ratios is attributed to a record amount of catastrophe and storm losses experienced in 2008, which totaled $19,823,000 and $49,071,000 for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 compared to $7,213,000 and $19,474,000 for the same periods in 2007.  Catastrophe and storm losses added 20.6 and 17.0 percentage points to the loss and settlement expense ratio for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008, compared to 7.5 and 6.7 percentage points for the same periods in 2007.  An expected decline in the amount of favorable development experienced on prior years’ reserves in the property and casualty insurance segment also contributed to the increases in the loss and settlement expense ratios.

 
The loss and settlement expense ratio for the property and casualty insurance segment increased to 83.0 percent and 76.0 percent for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 from 64.9 percent and 58.4 percent for the same periods in 2007.  A record amount of Midwest storm losses, along with losses associated with Hurricanes Gustav and Ike, were the driving force behind these increases.  Catastrophe and storm losses more than doubled to a record $14,998,000 and $42,614,000 for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 from $6,635,000 and $18,487,000 for the same periods in 2007.  These storm losses contributed 19.0 and 18.0 percentage points, respectively, to the three month and nine month loss and settlement expense ratios, which represented increases of 11.2 and 11.3 percentage points over the comparable ratios of 2007.  The record level of catastrophe and storm losses was caused by several severe storm systems that produced wind, tornado and hail losses over a wide geographic region of the Midwest during the second and third quarters, including a devastating EF5 tornado that struck Parkersburg, Iowa during the second quarter.  These second and third quarter storm losses added to an already high level of storm losses experienced during the first quarter.  Losses associated with Hurricanes Gustav and Ike totaled $3,055,000 and $3,407,000, respectively.  Surprisingly, the majority of the property and casualty insurance segment’s losses from Hurricane Ike occurred in Ohio and Kentucky.  As the massive hurricane advanced away from the coast of Texas, it merged with a cold front traveling across the Midwest and generated a significant amount of wind damage.

An expected decline in the amount of favorable development experienced on prior years’ reserves also contributed to the increase in the three month and nine month loss and settlement expense ratios of the property and casualty insurance segment.  Lastly, the moderate, but steady, decline in premium rate levels over the past several years is estimated to have added approximately 4 percentage points to the loss and settlement expense ratio of the first nine months of 2008.

The loss and settlement expense ratio for the reinsurance segment increased to 92.5 percent and 82.2 percent for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 from 75.4 percent and 67.2 percent for the same periods in 2007.  These increases reflect an increase in the amount of large losses reported and an increase in catastrophe and storm losses, including $2,000,000 of losses associated with Hurricane Ike.  An increase in the amount of favorable development experienced on prior years’ reserves helped to limit the increase in the loss and settlement expense ratios for 2008.


Acquisition and other expenses

Acquisition and other expenses declined 16.0 percent and 8.6 percent to $29,046,000 and $92,857,000 for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 from $34,576,000 and $101,565,000 for the same periods in 2007.  The acquisition expense ratio declined to 30.1 percent and 32.2 percent for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 from 35.7 percent and 34.9 percent for the same periods in 2007.  These declines are primarily attributed to the property and casualty insurance segment and reflect reductions in the amount of expense recorded for policyholder dividends, agents’ profit share, executive bonuses and contingent salaries, and postretirement benefits.

For the property and casualty insurance segment, the acquisition expense ratio declined to 31.5 percent and 34.0 percent for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 from 37.5 percent and 37.4 percent for the same periods in 2007.  These decreases are attributed to declines in the amount of expense recorded for policyholder dividends, contingent commissions (in the form of agents’ profit share), executive bonuses and contingent salaries, and postretirement benefits.  The decline in policyholder dividend expense is largely due to a decrease in the estimated dividend payable on several of the Company’s safety dividend groups.  The declines in executive bonuses and contingent salaries, as well as agents’ profit share expenses, reflect the large decline in underwriting profitability that occurred during 2008.  The decline in postretirement benefits expense reflects a decrease in the service cost component and the amortization of a prior service credit resulting from a plan amendment that became effective in the first quarter of 2008.

For the reinsurance segment, the acquisition expense ratio decreased to 23.7 percent for the three months ended September 30, 2008 from 26.6 percent for the same period in 2007.  For the nine months ended September 30, 2008 the acquisition expense ratio increased to 24.0 percent from 23.3 percent for the same period in 2007.  The decrease for the three months ended September 30, 2008 is primarily attributed to lower contingent commission expenses and, to a lesser extent, declines in regular commissions and other underwriting expenses.  The increase for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 is primarily associated with an increase in the estimated commission expense on earned but not reported premiums.

27

 
Investment results

Net investment income was flat at $12,251,000 for the three months ended September 30, 2008, but increased 0.8 percent to $36,191,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 from $35,895,000 for the same period in 2007.  Investment income for the three months ended September 30, 2008 was negatively impacted by the elimination of dividends on the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac) and the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) preferred stocks and a reduction in cash yields. The increase reported for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 was somewhat limited by a significant amount of call activity on the Company’s U.S. government agency securities during the first and second quarters as a result of  the declining interest rate environment.  The proceeds from these called securities were invested in short-term securities until attractive long-term opportunities could be identified.  As of March 31, 2008, approximately 55 percent of the $211 million in proceeds received from called securities had been reinvested in long-term securities, and by June 30, 2008 approximately 87 percent of the $258 million in proceeds from this call activity had been reinvested.  With the reinvestment of these proceeds, net investment income has increased.

The Company reported net realized investment losses of $14,097,000 and $281,000 for the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, respectively.  These losses are primarily comprised of “other-than-temporary” investment impairment losses totaling $17,075,000 on ten equity securities during the third quarter of 2008, and $689,000 on five equity securities during the third quarter of 2007.  The impairments recorded in the third quarter of 2008 include $14,904,000 on the perpetual preferred stocks of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.  For the nine months ended September 30, 2008, the Company reported a net realized investment loss of $16,638,000 compared to a net gain of $1,232,000 for the same period in 2007, also primarily from equity investments.  The Company recognized “other-than-temporary” investment impairment losses totaling $21,672,000 on 25 equity securities during the first nine months of 2008, compared to $1,073,000 on 12 equity securities during the first nine months of 2007.  The Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae impairment losses are the result of the U.S. government placing these companies under conservatorship.  The impairment losses on the remaining equity securities were recognized because the Company’s outside equity manager indicated that these securities, which were in an unrealized loss position, would likely be sold before they recovered to their cost basis.  As a result, the intent to hold these securities to recovery did not exist.

The total rate of return on the Company’s equity portfolio for the first nine months of 2008 was negative 18.7 percent, compared to a negative 19.3 percent for the S&P 500.  The current annualized yield on the bond portfolio and cash is 5.6 percent and the effective duration is 5.99 years, which is up from 5.11 years at June 30, 2008 and 3.75 years at December 31, 2007.


Income tax

The Company reported an income tax benefit of $6,931,000 and $6,730,000 for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2008 compared to income tax expense of $2,059,000 and $14,231,000 for the same periods in 2007.  The relatively high income tax benefit to pretax loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 reflects the relatively small pre-tax loss to the amount of tax-exempt interest income earned.

 
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Liquidity

Liquidity is a measure of a company’s ability to generate sufficient cash flows to meet cash obligations.  The Company had positive cash flows from operations of $10,148,000 and $6,160,000 during the first nine months of 2008 and 2007, respectively.  The cash flows during the first nine months of 2007 were limited due to large income tax payments made by the Company’s insurance subsidiaries.  Income taxes are initially paid by Employers Mutual, and the Company’s insurance subsidiaries reimburse Employers Mutual for their share of the payment through the settlement of inter-company balances.  The Company typically generates substantial positive cash flows from operations because cash from premium payments is generally received in advance of cash payments made to settle claims.  These positive cash flows provide the foundation of the Company’s asset/liability management program and are the primary drivers of the Company’s liquidity.  When investing funds made available from operations, the Company invests in securities with maturities that approximate the anticipated payments of losses and settlement expenses of the underlying insurance policies.  In addition, the Company maintains a portion of its investment portfolio in relatively short-term and highly liquid assets as a secondary source of liquidity should net cash flows from operating activities prove inadequate to fund current operating needs.  As of September 30, 2008, the Company did not have any significant variations between the maturity dates of its investments and the expected payments of its loss and settlement expense reserves.

The Company is a holding company whose principal asset is its investment in its insurance subsidiaries.  As a holding company, the Company is dependent upon cash dividends from its insurance company subsidiaries to meet all obligations, including cash dividends to stockholders and the funding of the Company’s stock repurchase program.  State insurance regulations restrict the maximum amount of dividends insurance companies can pay without prior regulatory approval.  The maximum amount of dividends that the insurance company subsidiaries can pay to the Company in 2008 without prior regulatory approval is approximately $46,779,000.  The Company received $25,005,000 and $3,625,000 of dividends from its insurance company subsidiaries and paid cash dividends to its stockholders totaling $7,340,000 and $7,019,000 in the first nine months of 2008 and 2007, respectively.  The large increase in dividends received from the insurance company subsidiaries during 2008 is being used to fund the Company’s $15,000,000 stock repurchase program.  On October 31, 2008, the Company’s Board of Directors announced an extension of the stock repurchase program, authorizing an additional $10,000,000.  This extension will necessitate the dividend of additional funds from the insurance company subsidiaries to the holding company in the fourth quarter of 2008 and/or early 2009.

The Company’s insurance company subsidiaries must have adequate liquidity to ensure that their cash obligations are met; however, because of their participation in the pooling agreement and the quota share agreement, they do not have the daily liquidity concerns normally associated with an insurance or reinsurance company.  This is due to the fact that under the terms of the pooling and quota share agreements, Employers Mutual receives all premiums and pays all losses and expenses associated with the insurance business produced by the pool participants and the assumed reinsurance business ceded to the Company’s reinsurance subsidiary, and then settles the inter-company balances generated by these transactions with the participating companies within 45 days after the end of each quarter.

At the insurance company subsidiary level, the primary sources of cash are premium income, investment income and maturing investments.  The principal outflows of cash are payments of claims, commissions, premium taxes, operating expenses, income taxes, dividends, interest and principal payments on debt, and investment purchases.  Cash outflows can be variable because of uncertainties regarding settlement dates for unpaid losses and because of the potential for large losses, either individually or in the aggregate.  Accordingly, the insurance company subsidiaries maintain investment and reinsurance programs generally intended to provide adequate funds to pay claims without forced sales of investments.  In addition, Employers Mutual has a line of credit available to provide additional liquidity if needed.  The insurance company subsidiaries have access to this line of credit through Employers Mutual.

 
The Company maintains a portion of its investment portfolio in relatively short-term and highly liquid investments to ensure the availability of funds to pay claims and expenses.  At September 30, 2008, approximately 38 percent of the Company’s fixed maturity securities were in U.S. government or U.S. government-sponsored agency securities.  This is down from approximately 55 percent at December 31, 2007 due to a significant amount of call activity on the Company’s U.S. government agency securities that occurred during the first half of 2008 due to the declining interest rate environment.  The proceeds from these called securities were initially invested in short-term securities, and much of the proceeds were subsequently reinvested in other types of fixed maturity securities (as discussed above).  A variety of maturities are maintained in the Company’s portfolio to assure adequate liquidity.  The maturity structure of the fixed maturity securities is also established by the relative attractiveness of yields on short, intermediate and long-term securities.  The Company does not invest in high-yield, non-investment grade debt securities.  Any non-investment grade securities held by the Company are the result of rating downgrades that occurred subsequent to their purchase.

The Company considers itself to be a long-term investor and generally purchases fixed maturity securities with the intent to hold them to maturity.  Despite this intent, the Company currently classifies purchases of fixed maturity securities as available-for-sale to provide flexibility in the management of its investment portfolio.  At September 30, 2008 the Company had a net unrealized holding loss, net of deferred taxes, on fixed maturity securities available-for-sale of $11,219,000, compared to a net unrealized holding gain, net of deferred taxes, of $12,298,000 at December 31, 2007.  The fluctuation in the market value of these investments is primarily due to changes in the interest rate environment during this time period, but also reflects a widening of risk premium spreads over U.S. Treasuries for corporate and U.S. government-sponsored agency securities.  Since the Company does not actively trade in the bond market, such fluctuations in the fair value of these investments are not expected to have a material impact on the operations of the Company, as forced liquidations of investments is not anticipated.  The Company closely monitors the bond market and makes appropriate adjustments in its portfolio as conditions warrant.

The majority of the Company’s assets are invested in fixed maturity securities.  These investments provide a substantial amount of investment income that supplements underwriting results and contributes to net earnings.  As these investments mature, or are called, the proceeds are reinvested at current rates, which may be higher or lower than those now being earned; therefore, more or less investment income may be available to contribute to net earnings depending on the interest rate level.

The Company participates in a securities lending program administered by Mellon Bank, N.A. whereby certain fixed maturity securities from the investment portfolio are loaned to other institutions for short periods of time.  The Company receives a fee for each security loaned out under this program and requires initial collateral equal to 102 percent of the market value of the loaned securities.  The collateral is primarily cash, but other forms of collateral are occasionally accepted, including letters of credit or U.S. Treasury securities.  The cash collateral  is invested in a Delaware business trust that is managed by Mellon Bank.  In this trust, cash collateral funds of the Company are pooled with cash collateral funds of other security lenders administered by Mellon Bank, and these funds are invested in securities with high credit quality standards, maturity restrictions, and liquidity levels consistent with the short-term nature of securities lending transactions.  The acceptable investments include time deposits, commercial paper, floating rate notes, asset-backed floating rate notes, and repurchase agreements.  The earnings from this trust are used, in part, to pay the fee the Company receives for each security loaned under the program.  The Company has a slight risk of a minor loss associated with the collateral pool if the aggregate market value of the collateral pool were to decline below the aggregate liability represented by the collateral, assuming all securities loaned and backed by the collateral pool were returned.  The Company had securities on loan totaling $938,000 and $58,995,000 at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively.  Collateral held in connection with these loaned securities totaled $1,000,000 and $60,785,000 at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively.  The large decrease in securities on loan at September 30, 2008 was due to a decrease in demand for the type of securities the Company  makes available to the program (primarily U.S. government agencies, U.S. treasuries and corporate bonds).

The Company held $76,000 and $102,000 in minority ownership interests in limited partnerships and limited liability companies at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively.  The Company does not hold any other unregistered securities.

The Company’s cash balance was $429,000 and $263,000 at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively.

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During the first nine months of 2008, Employers Mutual made $1,200,000 in contributions to the postretirement benefit plans’ VEBA trust, and did not make any contributions to the pension plans.  Employers Mutual expects total contributions to the postretirement benefit plans’ VEBA trust for 2008 to approximate $2,800,000 and, depending on the performance of the equity markets during the fourth quarter, currently anticipates that its pension plans contribution will approximate $30,000,000.  The Company reimbursed Employers Mutual $343,000 for its share of the contribution to the postretirement benefit plans during the first nine months of 2008.

Employers Mutual contributed $3,500,000 to its pension plans and $3,800,000 to its postretirement benefit plans in 2007.  During the first nine months of 2007, Employers Mutual contributed $3,300,000 to the postretirement benefit plans’ VEBA trust, but did not make any contributions to the pension plans.  The Company reimbursed Employers Mutual $1,069,000 for its share of the 2007 pension contribution (no reimbursement was paid in the first nine months of 2007) and $1,083,000 for its share of the 2007 postretirement benefit plans contribution (including $941,000 during the first nine months of 2007).


Capital Resources

Capital resources consist of stockholders’ equity and debt, representing funds deployed or available to be deployed to support business operations.  For the Company’s insurance subsidiaries, capital resources are required to support premium writings.  Regulatory guidelines suggest that the ratio of a property and casualty insurer’s annual net premiums written to its statutory surplus should not exceed three to one.  On an annualized basis, all of the Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries were well under this guideline at September 30, 2008.

The Company’s insurance subsidiaries are required to maintain a certain minimum level of surplus on a statutory basis, and are subject to regulations under which the payment of dividends from statutory surplus is restricted and may require prior approval of their domiciliary insurance regulatory authorities.  The Company’s insurance subsidiaries are also subject to Risk Based Capital (RBC) requirements that may further impact their ability to pay dividends.   RBC requirements attempt to measure minimum statutory capital needs based upon the risks in a company’s mix of products and investment portfolio.  At December 31, 2007, the Company’s insurance subsidiaries had total adjusted statutory capital of $344,260,000, which was well in excess of the minimum RBC requirement of $55,526,000.

The Company had total cash and invested assets with a carrying value of $1.0 billion as of September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007.  The following table summarizes the Company’s cash and invested assets as of the dates indicated:

   
September 30, 2008
 
($ in thousands)
 
Amortized Cost
   
Fair Value
   
Percent of Total Fair Value
   
Carrying Value
 
Fixed maturity securities held-to-maturity
  $ 613     $ 667       0.1 %   $ 613  
Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale
    803,814       786,554       82.2 %     786,554  
Equity securities available-for-sale
    83,457       105,931       11.1 %     105,931  
Cash
    429       429       -       429  
Short-term investments
    63,600       63,600       6.6 %     63,600  
Other long-term investments
    76       76       -       76  
    $ 951,989     $ 957,257       100.0 %   $ 957,203  


   
December 31, 2007
 
($ in thousands)
 
Amortized Cost
   
Fair Value
   
Percent of Total Fair Value
   
Carrying Value
 
Fixed maturity securities held-to-maturity
  $ 637     $ 689       0.1 %   $ 637  
Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale
    825,328       844,248       81.4 %     844,248  
Equity securities available-for-sale
    97,847       139,428       13.4 %     139,428  
Cash
    263       263       -       263  
Short-term investments
    53,295       53,295       5.1 %     53,295  
Other long-term investments
    102       102       -       102  
    $ 977,472     $ 1,038,025       100.0 %   $ 1,037,973  


The amortized cost and estimated fair value of fixed maturity and equity securities at September 30, 2008 were as follows:

   
Held-to-Maturity
 
($ in thousands)
 
Amortized Cost
   
Gross Unrealized Gains
   
Gross Unrealized Losses
   
Estimated Fair Value
 
Mortgage-backed securities
  $ 613     $ 54     $ -     $ 667  
Total securities held-to-maturity
  $ 613     $ 54     $ -     $ 667  
                                 
   
Available-for-Sale
 
($ in thousands)
 
Amortized Cost
   
Gross Unrealized Gains
   
Gross Unrealized Losses
   
Estimated Fair Value
 
U.S. treasury securities
  $ 4,729     $ 333     $ -     $ 5,062  
U.S. government-sponsored agencies
    297,334       1,388       1,929       296,793  
Obligations of states and political subdivisions
    303,236       3,894       12,324       294,806  
Mortgage-backed securities
    51,348       158       2,111       49,395  
Public utility securities
    6,002       80       -       6,082  
Debt securities issued by foreign governments
    6,641       15       63       6,593  
Corporate securities
    134,524       960       7,661       127,823  
Total fixed maturity securities
    803,814       6,828       24,088       786,554  
                                 
Common stocks
    72,861       28,883       3,822       97,922  
Non-redeemable preferred stocks
    10,596       -       2,587       8,009  
Total equity securities
    83,457       28,883       6,409       105,931  
Total securities available-for-sale
  $ 887,271     $ 35,711     $ 30,497     $ 892,485  

 
The Company’s equity portfolio is diversified across a large range of industry sectors and is managed by Harris Bank, N.A. for a fee that is based on total assets under management.  As of September 30, 2008, the equity portfolio was invested in the following industry sectors:

Industry sectors:
 
Percent of equity portfolio
 
Financial services
    25.1 %
Information technology
    17.5  
Energy
    12.7  
Healthcare
    12.3  
Consumer Staples
    8.3  
Consumer Discretionary
    6.6  
Industrials
    6.6  
Other
    10.9  
      100.0 %


The $11 million of surplus notes issued by the reinsurance subsidiary to Employers Mutual were redeemed in the fourth quarter of 2007, along with accrued interest.  The $25 million of surplus notes issued by the property and casualty insurance subsidiaries to Employers Mutual remain outstanding; however, effective February 1, 2008 the interest rate on these surplus notes was increased from 3.09 percent to 3.60 percent.  Future reviews of the interest rate on the surplus notes will be conducted by the Inter-Company Committees of the Boards of Directors of the Company and Employers Mutual every five years.  Payment of interest and repayment of principal can only be made out of the applicable subsidiary’s statutory surplus and is subject to prior approval by the insurance commissioner of the respective state of domicile.  The surplus notes are subordinate and junior in right of payment to all obligations or liabilities of the applicable insurance subsidiaries.  The Company’s subsidiaries incurred interest expense of $664,000 and $834,000 during the first nine months of 2008 and 2007, respectively, on these surplus notes.

As of September 30, 2008, the Company had no material commitments for capital expenditures.


Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

Employers Mutual receives all premiums and pays all losses and expenses associated with the assumed reinsurance business ceded to the reinsurance subsidiary and the insurance business produced by the pool participants, and then settles the inter-company balances generated by these transactions with the participating companies on a quarterly basis.  When settling the inter-company balances, Employers Mutual provides the reinsurance subsidiary and the pool participants with full credit for the premiums written during the quarter and retains all receivable amounts.  Any receivable amounts that are ultimately deemed to be uncollectible are charged-off by Employers Mutual and the expense is charged to the reinsurance subsidiary or allocated to the pool members on the basis of pool participation.  As a result, the Company has an off-balance sheet arrangement with an unconsolidated entity that results in a credit-risk exposure that is not reflected in the Company’s financial statements.  Based on historical data, this credit-risk exposure is not considered to be material to the Company’s results of operations or financial position.


Investments

The Company’s fixed maturity securities and equity securities available-for-sale and short-term investments are measured at fair value on a recurring basis.  No assets or liabilities are currently measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis.  Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date.  The following fair value hierarchy prioritizes the inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value:

Level 1-
Unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities in active markets that the Company has the ability to access.

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Level 2-
Quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities in active markets; quoted prices for identical or similar assets or liabilities in inactive markets; or valuations based on models where the significant inputs are observable (e.g., interest rates, yield curves, prepayment speeds, default rates, loss severities, etc.) or can be corroborated by observable market data.

Level 3 -
Prices or valuation techniques that require significant unobservable inputs.  The unobservable inputs may reflect the Company’s own assumptions about the assumptions that market participants would use.

The Company uses an independent pricing source to obtain the estimated fair value of a majority of its securities.  The fair value is based on quoted market prices, where available.  This is typically the case for equity securities and short-term investments, which are accordingly classified as Level 1 fair value measurements.  In cases where quoted market prices are not available, fair value is based on a variety of valuation techniques depending on the type of security.  Many of the fixed maturity securities in the Company’s portfolio do not trade on a daily basis; however, observable inputs are utilized in their valuations, and these securities are therefore classified as Level 2 fair value measurements.  Following is a brief description of the various pricing techniques used by the independent pricing service for different asset classes.

 
·
U.S. Treasury securities (including bonds, notes, and bills) are priced according to a number of live data sources, including active market makers and inter-dealer brokers.  The pricing service reviews the prices from these sources based on of the sources’ historical accuracy for individual issues and maturity ranges.
 
·
U.S. government-sponsored agencies and corporate securities (including fixed-rate corporate bonds, medium-term notes, and retail notes) are priced by determining a bullet (non-call) spread scale for each issuer for maturities going out to forty years.  These spreads represent credit risk and are obtained from the new issue market, secondary trading, and dealer quotes.  An option adjusted spread model is incorporated to adjust spreads of issues that have early redemption features.  The final spread is then added to the U.S. Treasury curve.  For notes with odd coupon payment dates, a cash discounting yield/price routine calculates prices from final yields.
 
·
Obligations of states and political subdivisions are priced by tracking and analyzing actively quoted issues and trades reported by the Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board (MSRB).  Municipal bonds with similar characteristics are grouped together into market sectors, and internal yield curves are constructed daily for these sectors.  Individual bond evaluations are extrapolated from these sectors, with the ability to make individual spread adjustments for attributes such as discounts, premiums, alternative minimum tax, and/or whether or not the bond is callable.
 
·
Mortgage-backed securities are priced with models using spreads and other information solicited from Wall Street buy- and sell-side sources, including primary and secondary dealers, portfolio managers, and research analysts, to produce pricing for each tranche.  To determine a tranche’s price, first the cash flow for each tranche is generated (using consensus prepayment speed assumptions including, as appropriate, a proprietary prepayment projection based on historical statistics of the underlying collateral), then a benchmark yield is determined (in relation to the U.S. Treasury curve for the maturity corresponding to the tranche’s average life estimate), and finally collateral performance and tranche level attributes are incorporated to adjust the benchmark yield to determine the tranche-specific spread.  This is then used to discount the cash flows to generate the price.  When cash flows or other security structure or market information is not available to appropriately price a security, broker quotes may be used with a zero spread bid-side valuation, resulting in the same values for the mean and ask prices.

On a quarterly basis the Company receives from its independent pricing service a list of fixed maturity securities that were priced solely from broker quotes.  Since this is not an observable input, any fixed maturity security in the Company’s portfolio that is on this list is classified as a Level 3 fair value measurement.  At January 1, 2008, one of the Company’s fixed maturity securities (Continental Airlines) was on this list and was reported at the fair value provided by the independent pricing service ($697,000).  This security was subsequently priced by the independent pricing service using observable inputs (as described above), and was transferred from the Level 3 fair value measurement category to the Level 2 fair value measurement category on March 31, 2008.

 
A small number of the Company’s securities are not priced by the independent pricing service.  Two of the Company’s equity securities are reported at the fair value obtained from the Securities Valuation Office (SVO) of the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC).  These securities are reported as Level 3 fair value measurements since the SVO is not able to use reliable observable inputs in its valuations.  The SVO establishes a per share price for Insurance Services Office Inc. (ISO) Class B shares by averaging Class B trades during the past year and reviewing the quarterly valuations produced by a nationally recognized independent firm for the Class A shares (Class B shares typically trade at approximately 60 percent of the fair value of the Class A shares).  This valuation is typically performed twice a year, and resulted in a fair value for the Class B shares held by the Company of $10,847,000 at September 30, 2008 and $10,180,000 at December 31, 2007.  The SVO establishes a per share price for the other equity security based on an annual review of that company’s financial statements.  This review is typically performed during the second quarter, and resulted in a fair value for the shares held by the Company of $4,000 at September 30, 2008 and $7,000 at December 31, 2007.

ISO recently filed an S-1 Registration Statement with Securities and Exchange Commission in connection with a proposed initial public offering of its common stock.  The timing and terms of this proposed initial public offering are unknown at this time.  As a result, management is not able to determine what, if any, impact this initial public offering may have on the value of the Company’s investment in ISO common stock.

The remaining three securities not priced by the Company’s independent pricing service are fixed maturity securities.  One of the fixed maturity securities is classified as a Level 3 fair value measurement and is carried at its amortized cost of $12,000 ($47,000 at December 31, 2007).  The other two fixed maturity securities are classified as Level 2 fair value measurements and are carried at aggregate fair values of $7,629,000 at September 30, 2008 and $8,611,000 at December 31, 2007.  The fair values for these fixed maturity securities were obtained from the Company’s investment custodian using an independent pricing service which utilizes similar pricing techniques as the Company’s independent pricing service.

The estimated fair values obtained from the independent pricing sources are reviewed by the Company for reasonableness and any discrepancies are investigated for final valuation.  For fixed maturity securities, this includes comparing valuations from the independent pricing source, the Company’s investment custodian, the SVO, and an analytical service for fixed maturity securities.  For equity securities, a similar comparison is done between the valuations from the independent pricing service, the Company’s investment custodian, and the SVO.  From these comparisons, material variances are reviewed further to determine final valuation used in the financial statements.


Investment Impairments and Considerations

The Company recorded “other-than-temporary” investment impairment losses totaling $17,075,000 on ten equity securities during the third quarter of 2008, and $689,000 on five equity securities during the third quarter of 2007.  For the nine months ended September 30, 2008, the Company recognized “other-than-temporary” investment impairment losses totaling $21,672,000 on 25 equity securities, compared to $1,073,000 on 12 equity securities during the first nine months of 2007.  Included in the impairments for the third quarter of 2008 and nine months ended September 30, 2008 was $14,904,000 of impairment losses on the perpetual preferred stocks of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae resulting from the U.S. government placing these companies under conservatorship.  The impairment losses on the remaining equity securities were recognized because the Company’s outside equity manager indicated that these securities, which were in an unrealized loss position, would likely be sold before they recovered to their cost basis.  As a result, the intent to hold these securities to recovery did not exist.

The Company has no direct exposure to sub-prime residential lending, holding $31,943,000 of residential mortgage-backed securities which includes $4,155,000 of seasoned Government National Mortgage Association thirty-year fixed maturity securities.  No residential collateralized debt obligations or collateralized mortgage obligations are held.

The Company does have indirect exposure to sub-prime residential lending as it has significant holdings of government agency securities, as well as fixed maturity and equity securities in both the banking and financial services sectors.  While these holdings do not include companies engaged in originating residential lending as their primary business, they do include Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae and companies that may be indirectly engaged in sub-prime residential lending.

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During the second quarter, management evaluated and implemented a new investment strategy targeting high-quality residential mortgage-backed securities.  This investment strategy is being administered by Harris Investment Management, Inc. and is designed to take advantage of the liquidity-induced market dislocation that currently exists in the securitized residential mortgage marketplace.  This is a self-liquidating investment strategy that is targeting AAA rated residential mortgage-backed securities (no securities backed by subprime mortgages are being purchased).  The investments thus far have been prudently diversified with respect to key risk factors (such as vintage, originator and geography), have an average duration of 5 to 7 years, and have projected yields of approximately 7 to 8 percent.  The Company has committed a total of $40.0 million to this investment strategy, of which $28.9 million had been invested as of September 30, 2008.  The total market value of these residential mortgage-backed securities as of September 30, 2008 was $27,788,000.

At September 30, 2008, the Company had unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities as presented in the table below.  The estimated fair value is based on quoted market prices, where available.  In cases where quoted market prices are not available, fair values are based on a variety of valuation techniques depending on the type of security.  None of these securities are considered to be in concentrations by either security type or industry.  The Company uses several factors to determine whether the carrying value of an individual security has been “other-than-temporarily” impaired.  Such factors include, but are not limited to, the security’s value and performance in the context of the overall markets, length of time and extent the security’s fair value has been below carrying value, key corporate events and collateralization of fixed maturity securities.  Based on these factors, and the Company’s ability and intent to hold the securities until recovery or maturity, it was determined that the carrying value of these securities were not “other-than-temporarily” impaired at September 30, 2008.  Risks and uncertainties inherent in the methodology utilized in this evaluation process include interest rate risk, equity price risk, and the overall performance of the economy, all of which have the potential to adversely affect the value of the Company’s investments.  Should a determination be made at some point in the future that these unrealized losses are “other-than-temporary”, the Company’s earnings would be reduced by approximately $19,823,000, net of tax; however, the Company’s financial position would not be affected due to the fact that unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities are reflected in the Company’s financial statements as a component of stockholders’ equity, net of deferred taxes.

Following is a schedule of the length of time securities have continuously been in an unrealized loss position as of September 30, 2008.

Description of securities
 
Fair value
   
Unrealized losses
 
($ in thousands)
           
Securities available-for-sale:
           
Fixed maturity securities:
           
Less than six months
  $ 449,910     $ 18,101  
Six to twelve months
    51,244       5,829  
Twelve months or longer
    1,097       158  
Total fixed maturity securities
    502,251       24,088  
                 
Equity securities:
               
Less than six months
    29,887       3,868  
Six to twelve months
    2,699       1,073  
Twelve months or longer
    2,032       1,468  
Total equity securities
    34,618       6,409  
                 
                 
Total temporarily impaired securities
  $ 536,869     $ 30,497  


The equity securities that have been in a continuous unrealized loss position for twelve months or longer includes Merrill Lynch & Co. preferred stock ($1,361,000 unrealized loss) and JP Morgan Chase & Co. preferred stock ($107,000 unrealized loss).  Merrill Lynch & Co. is in the process of being acquired by Bank of America.  The JP Morgan Chase & Co. preferred stock was originally issued by Bear Stearns; however, it was renamed after being acquired by JP Morgan Chase & Co.  Management considers these unrealized losses to be temporary at this time.

36

 
The Company’s investment in US Freightways Corporation, American Airlines, and Great Lakes Chemical Corporation fixed maturity securities (non-investment grade) had an aggregate unrealized loss of $279,000 at September 30, 2008.  The Company does not purchase non-investment grade securities.  Any non-investment grade securities held by the Company are the result of rating downgrades that occurred subsequent to their purchase.

Following is a schedule of gross realized losses recognized during the first nine months of 2008 from the sale of securities and from “other-than-temporary” investment impairments.  The schedule is aged according to the length of time the underlying securities were in an unrealized loss position.  This schedule does not include realized losses stemming from corporate actions such as calls, pay-downs, redemptions, etc.  Fixed maturity securities were not included in the schedule since no realized losses were recognized on these investments stemming from disposals other than corporate actions.  Fixed maturity securities are generally held until maturity.
 
   
Nine months ended September 30, 2008
 
   
Realized losses from sales
   
"Other-than-
   
 
 
($ in thousands)
 
Book
value
   
Sales
price
   
Gross
realized losses
   
temporary"
impairment losses
   
Total gross
realized losses
 
Equity securities:
                             
Three months or less
  $ 9,202     $ 8,406     $ 796     $ 3,837     $ 4,633  
Over three months to six months
    2,357       1,890       467       11,714       12,181  
Over six months to nine months
    0       0       0       0       0  
Over nine months to twelve months
    0       0       0       421       421  
Over twelve months
    0       0       0       5,700       5,700  
    $ 11,559     $ 10,296     $ 1,263     $ 21,672     $ 22,935  
 
The $5,700,000 of realized losses associated with securities that had been in an unrealized loss position for over twelve months are attributed to the perpetual preferred stock of Freddie Mac, which experienced a significant decline in value during the third quarter when the U.S. government placed the company under conservatorship.  Prior to the third quarter, the value of the Freddie Mac perpetual preferred stock was only marginally under the Company’s carrying value.

 
LEASES, COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENT LIABILITIES

The following table reflects the Company’s contractual obligations as of September 30, 2008.  Included in the table are the estimated payments that the Company expects to make in the settlement of its loss reserves and with respect to its long-term debt.  One of the Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries leases office facilities in Bismarck, North Dakota with lease terms expiring in 2014.  Employers Mutual has entered into various leases for branch and service office facilities with lease terms expiring through 2021.  All lease costs are included as expenses under the pooling agreement, after allocation of the portion of these expenses to the subsidiaries that do not participate in the pool.  The table reflects the Company’s current 30.0 percent aggregate participation in the pooling agreement.  The Company’s contractual obligation for long-term debt did not change from that presented in the Company’s 2007 Form 10-K.

   
Payments due by period
 
   
Total
   
Less than 1 year
   
1 - 3years
   
4 - 5 years
   
More than 5 years
 
Contractual obligations
 
($ in thousands)
 
Loss and settlement expense reserves (1)
  $ 576,132     $ 225,901     $ 207,753     $ 80,198     $ 62,280  
Long-term debt (2)
    25,000       -       -       -       25,000  
Interest expense on long-term debt (3)
    8,989       889       1,800       1,800       4,500  
Real estate operating leases
    7,428       284       2,258       1,805       3,081  
Total
  $ 617,549     $ 227,074     $ 211,811     $ 83,803     $ 94,861  


(1)
The amounts presented are estimates of the dollar amounts and time period in which the Company expects to pay out its gross loss and settlement expense reserves.  These amounts are based on historical payment patterns and do not represent actual contractual obligations.  The actual payment amounts and the related timing of those payments could differ significantly from these estimates.

(2)
Long-term debt reflects the surplus notes issued by the Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries to Employers Mutual, which have no maturity date.  Excluded from long-term debt are pension and other postretirement benefit obligations.

(3)
Interest expense on long-term debt reflects the interest expense on the surplus notes issued by the Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries to Employers Mutual.  Interest on the surplus notes is subject to approval by the issuing company’s state of domicile.  The balance shown under the heading “More than 5 years” represents interest expense for years six through ten.  Since the surplus notes have no maturity date, total interest expense could be greater than the amount shown.

The participants in the pooling agreement are subject to guaranty fund assessments by states in which they write business.  Guaranty fund assessments are used by states to pay policyholder liabilities of insolvent insurers domiciled in those states.  Many states allow these assessments to be recovered through premium tax offsets.  Estimated guaranty fund assessments of $1,490,000 and $1,714,000 and related premium tax offsets of $1,633,000 and $1,057,000 have been accrued as of September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively.  The guaranty fund assessments are expected to be paid over the next two years and the premium tax offsets are expected to be realized within ten years of the payments.  The participants in the pooling agreement are also subject to second-injury fund assessments, which are designed to encourage employers to employ a worker with a pre-existing disability.  Estimated second-injury fund assessments of $1,552,000 and $1,656,000 have been accrued as of September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively.  The second injury fund assessment accruals are based on projected loss payments.  The periods over which the assessments will be paid is not known.

 
The participants in the pooling agreement have purchased annuities from life insurance companies, under which the claimant is payee, to fund future payments that are fixed pursuant to specific claim settlement provisions.  The Company’s share of case loss reserves eliminated by the purchase of these annuities was $2,024,000 at December 31, 2007.  The Company’s contingent liability was $2,024,184 at December 31, 2007 should the issuers of these annuities fail to perform under the terms of the annuity.  The life insurance companies provide annuity statements on an annual basis; therefore the contingent liability for interim periods cannot be estimated.  The change in the contingent liability during the interim periods is not expected to change materially.  The probability of a material loss due to failure of performance by the issuers of these annuities is considered remote.  The Company’s share of the amount due from any one life insurance company does not equal or exceed one percent of its subsidiaries’ aggregate policyholders’ surplus.


NEW ACCOUNTING PRONOUNCEMENTS

In September 2006, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 157, “Fair Value Measurements,” which defines fair value, establishes a framework for measuring fair value, and expands disclosures about fair value measurements.  The provisions of SFAS 157 are effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007, and interim periods within those fiscal years.  The Company adopted the requirements of SFAS 157 effective January 1, 2008, which resulted in additional disclosures, but no impact on operating results.  In October 2008, the FASB issued Staff Position No. FAS 157-3, “Determining the Fair Value of a Financial Asset When the Market For That Asset Is Not Active,” which clarifies the application of SFAS 157 in a market that is not active.  FAS 157-3 was effective upon issuance, including prior periods for which financial statements have not been issued.  Adoption of FAS 157-3 did not have any effect on the consolidated financial position or operating results of the Company.

In September 2006, the FASB issued SFAS No. 158, “Employers’ Accounting for Defined Benefit Pension and Other Postretirement Plans.”  SFAS 158 includes a requirement to measure the defined benefit plan assets and obligations as of the end of the employer’s fiscal year.  This requirement is effective for fiscal years ending after December 15, 2008.   SFAS 158 provides two approaches to measure the adjustment from a previously reported non-fiscal year-end measurement date to a fiscal year-end measurement date, both of which require the adjustment be recorded to beginning retained earnings and “accumulated other comprehensive income”, as applicable.  SFAS 158 does not change the method of calculating the net periodic cost that existed under previous guidance.   Effective January 1, 2008, the Company elected to apply the approach under which the Company’s previous November 1, 2007 measurement date was used to obtain the adjustment for the two month transition period.  As a result, on January 1, 2008, the Company recorded a $206,000 decrease to retained earnings and a $46,000 decrease to “accumulated other comprehensive income” to record the net periodic cost associated with the two month transition period.

In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 159, “The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities.”  SFAS 159 permits reporting entities to choose, at specified election dates, to measure eligible items at fair value (the “fair value option”).  The unrealized gains and losses on items for which the fair value option has been elected will be reported in earnings.  As it relates to the Company’s financial reporting, the Company would be permitted to elect fair value recognition of fixed maturity and equity securities currently classified as either available-for-sale or held-to-maturity, and report future unrealized gains and losses from these securities in earnings.  Electing the fair value option for an existing held-to-maturity security will not call into question the intent of an entity to hold other fixed maturity securities to maturity in the future.  The provisions of this statement are effective beginning with the first fiscal year that begins after November 15, 2007.  The Company adopted the requirements of SFAS 159 effective January 1, 2008, but did not elect the fair value option.  Therefore, adoption of this statement had no effect on the operating results of the Company.

In December 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 141 (revised 2007), “Business Combinations”.  This statement replaces SFAS No. 141, “Business Combinations”; however, it retains the fundamental requirements of SFAS No. 141 in that the acquisition method of accounting (referred to as “purchase method” in SFAS 141) be used for all business combinations.  SFAS 141 (revised) is to be applied prospectively to business combinations for which the acquisition date is on or after the beginning of the first annual reporting period beginning on or after December 15, 2008.  Adoption of this statement is not expected to have any effect on the operating results of the Company.

 
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides issuers the opportunity to make cautionary statements regarding forward-looking statements.  Accordingly, any forward-looking statement contained in this report is based on management’s current beliefs, assumptions and expectations of the Company’s future performance, taking into account all information currently available to management.  These beliefs, assumptions and expectations can change as the result of many possible events or factors, not all of which are known to management.  If a change occurs, the Company’s business, financial condition, liquidity, results of operations, plans and objectives may vary materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements.  The risks and uncertainties that may affect the actual results of the Company include, but are not limited to, the following: catastrophic events and the occurrence of significant severe weather conditions; the adequacy of loss and settlement expense reserves; state and federal legislation and regulations; changes in our industry, interest rates or the performance of financial markets and the general economy; rating agency actions and other risks and uncertainties inherent to the Company’s business, including those discussed under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K which is updated under Part II, Item 1A. “Risk Factors” of this Form 10-Q.  Management intends to identify forward-looking statements when using the words “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “estimate”, “project” or similar expressions.  Undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements.


QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

The main objectives in managing the investment portfolios of the Company are to maximize after-tax investment return while minimizing credit risks, in order to provide maximum support for the underwriting operations.  Investment strategies are developed based upon many factors including underwriting results, regulatory requirements, fluctuations in interest rates and consideration of other market risks.  Investment decisions are centrally managed by investment professionals and are supervised by the investment committees of the respective boards of directors for each of the Company’s subsidiaries.

Market risk represents the potential for loss due to adverse changes in the fair value of financial instruments.  The market risks of the financial instruments of the Company relate to the investment portfolio, which exposes the Company to interest rate and equity price risk and, to a lesser extent, credit quality and prepayment risk.  Monitoring systems and analytical tools are in place to assess each of these elements of market risk.

Two categories of influences on market risk exist as it relates to financial instruments.  First are systematic aspects, which relate to the investing environment and are out of the control of the investment manager.  Second are non-systematic aspects, which relate to the construction of the investment portfolio through investment policies and decisions, and are under the direct control of the investment manager.  The Company is committed to controlling non-systematic risk through sound investment policies and diversification.

Further analysis of the components of the Company’s market risk (including interest rate risk, equity price risk, credit quality risk, and prepayment risk) can be found in the Company’s 2007 Form 10-K.


CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

The Company, under the supervision and with the participation of its management, including the Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer, evaluated the effectiveness of the design and operation of the Company’s “disclosure controls and procedures” (as defined in Rule 13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act) as of the end of the period covered by this report.  Based on that evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer concluded that the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures are effective in timely making known to them material information relating to the Company and the Company’s consolidated subsidiaries required to be disclosed in the Company’s reports filed or submitted under the Exchange Act.

There were no changes in the Company’s internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the third quarter of 2008 that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company’s internal control over financial reporting.

40

 
EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

PART II.
OTHER INFORMATION


RISK FACTORS

 
The following supplements the discussion under Item 1A “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007:
 
Continued deterioration in the debt and equity markets could lead to additional losses in the Company’s investment portfolio, which could have a material adverse affect on the Company’s financial condition and/or results of operations.
 
The severe downturn in the debt and equity markets, reflecting uncertainties associated with the mortgage crisis, worsening economic conditions, widening of credit spreads, bankruptcies and government intervention in large financial institutions, has resulted in significant realized and unrealized losses in the Company’s investment portfolio. Depending on future market conditions, the Company could incur substantial additional realized and unrealized losses in its investment portfolio, which could have a material adverse affect on the Company’s financial condition and/or results of operations.

The aggregate market value of the collateral held by the administrator of the Company’s securities lending program could decline below the aggregate liability represented by the collateral.

The Company participates in a securities lending program administered by Mellon Bank, N.A. whereby certain fixed maturity securities from the investment portfolio are loaned to other institutions for short periods of time.  The Company requires initial collateral, primarily cash, equal to 102 percent of the market value of the loaned securities.  The cash collateral is invested in a Delaware business trust that is managed by Mellon Bank.  In this trust, cash collateral funds of the Company are pooled with cash collateral funds of other security lenders administered by Mellon Bank, and these funds are invested in securities with high credit quality standards, maturity restrictions, and liquidity levels consistent with the short-term nature of securities lending transactions.  The acceptable investments include time deposits, commercial paper, floating rate notes, asset-backed floating rate notes, and repurchase agreements.  The Company has a slight risk of a minor loss associated with the collateral pool if the aggregate market value of the collateral pool were to decline below the aggregate liability represented by the collateral, assuming all securities loaned and backed by the collateral pool were returned.

 
ITEM 2.
UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS

The following table sets forth information regarding purchases of equity securities by the Company and affiliated purchasers for the three months ended September 30, 2008:

Period
 
(a) Total number of shares (or units) purchased
   
(b) Average price paid per share (or unit)
   
(c) Total number of shares (or units) purchased as part of publicly announced plans or programs
   
(d) Maximum number (or approximate dollar value) of shares (or units) that may yet be purchased under the plans or programs (2 & 3)
 
                         
7/1/08 - 7/31/08
    160,274 (1)   $ 23.33       148,937 (2)   $ 8,974,243  
                                 
8/1/08 - 8/31/08
    60,714 (1)     24.47       60,655 (2)     7,489,874  
                                 
9/1/08 - 9/30/08
    12,916 (1)     23.69       11,500 (2)     7,218,559  
                                 
Total
    233,904     $ 23.64       221,092          


(1) 36, 59 and 1,416 shares were purchased in the open market in July, August and September, respectively, to fulfill the Company’s obligations under its dividend reinvestment and common stock purchase plan.  11,301 shares were purchased in the open market during July under Employers Mutual Casualty Company’s employee stock purchase plan.

(2) On March 10, 2008, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized a $15,000,000 stock repurchase program.  This purchase program was effective immediately and does not have an expiration date.  A total of $2,727,998 remains in this plan.

(3) On May 12, 2005, the Company announced that its parent company, Employers Mutual Casualty Company, had initiated a $15 million stock purchase program under which Employers Mutual would purchase shares of the Company’s common stock in the open market.  This purchase program was effective immediately and does not have an expiration date; however, this program is currently dormant and will remain so while the Company’s repurchase program is active.  A total of $4,490,561 remains in this plan.

 
EXHIBITS

10.8
 
Employers Mutual Casualty Company Board and Executive Non-Qualified Excess Plan, as amended and restated.
     
10.10
 
Employers Mutual Casualty Company Non-Employee Directors’ Post-Service Benefits Plan, as amended and restated.
     
10.25
 
Employers Mutual Casualty Company Senior Executive Long Term Incentive Plan.  (Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.25 filed with the Company’s Form 8-K on November 6, 2008 under Item 5.02.)
     
10.26
 
Employers Mutual Casualty Company 2008 Employee Stock Purchase Plan.  (Incorporated by reference to Registration No. 333-151299.)
     
31.1
 
Certification of President and Chief Executive Officer as required by Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
     
31.2
 
Certification of Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer as required by Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
     
32.1
 
Certification of the President and Chief Executive Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
     
32.2
 
Certification of the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

 
EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized, on November 7, 2008.


 
EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC.
 
 
Registrant
 
     
     
 
/s/  Bruce G. Kelley
 
 
Bruce G. Kelley
 
 
President and Chief Executive Officer
 
 
(Principal Executive Officer)
 

 
 
/s/  Mark E. Reese
 
 
Mark E. Reese
 
 
Senior Vice President and
 
 
Chief Financial Officer
 
 
(Principal Accounting Officer)
 

 
EMC INSURANCE GROUP INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

INDEX TO EXHIBITS

Exhibit number
 
Item
Page number
       
 
Employers Mutual Casualty Company Board and Executive Non-Qualified Excess Plan, as amended and restated.
46
       
 
Employers Mutual Casualty Company Non-Employee Directors’ Post-Service Benefits Plan, as amended and restated.
68
       
 
Certification of President and Chief Executive Officer as required by Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
73
       
 
Certification of Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer as required by Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
74
       
 
Certification of the President and Chief Executive Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
75
       
 
Certification of the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
76
 
 
45